TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeeb0…c9f8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: WNBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 54 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$177.54
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.97
Spread: Pelicans (-9.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$95.72
Jazz vs. Kings: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.74
1H Spread: Clippers (-7.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$172.29
Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.89
1H Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.72
1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$43.47
Darius Garland: Assists O/U 4.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.61
Rockets vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 110.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$27.6
Pistons vs. Magic: 1H Moneylinebacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.43
Brice Sensabaugh: Points O/U 17.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$25.9
1H Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$12.78
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$23.86
Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 22.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$35.44
Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+170.3%+$82.55
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$92.24
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.51
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.29
Avalanche vs. Kraken: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$100.62
Flames vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$166.62
Panthers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$106.33
Blue Jackets vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+100%+$15.89
Sabres vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$40.97
KHL: Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg vs. HC Dynamo Moscowbacked HC Dynamo Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+127.3%+$28.45
KHL: Amur Khabarovsk vs. Traktorbacked Amur Khabarovsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$111.86
KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Avtomobilist Yekaterinburgbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+44.9%+$19.23
KHL: Traktor vs. Ak Bars Kazanbacked Ak Bars Kazan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$24.16
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Southern Tigers vs. Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$58.5
Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-2.5)backed Colorado State Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$69.35
Spread: Boise State Broncos (-10.5)backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+96.1%+$84.76
Spread: Saint Peter's Peacocks (-1.5)backed Saint Peter's Peacocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$92.87
Spread: VCU Rams (-12.5)backed La Salle Explorers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$40.45
Spread: Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (-6.5)backed Jackson State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.93
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-10.5)backed Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$28.8
Georgia Bulldogs vs. LSU Tigers: O/U 162.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$25.26
All 8 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-41%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-47.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+116.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 176.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$40.8
Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 165.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$17.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$152.18
Gangwon FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.61
Middlesbrough FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$102.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KKS Lech Poznań vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.69
Samsunspor vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$106.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs S2G Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked S2G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$59.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: M80 vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$170.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hannover 96 vs. Holstein Kiel: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$19.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians - Map 1 Winnerbacked Dynamo Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$27.18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.