NHL · resolved market
KHL: Traktor vs. Ak Bars Kazan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7ca500a37d6fcb42016816f9cb487e6b495202370b2028336aea8343225340c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Traktorof Traktor, Ak Bars Kazan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $809,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $809,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $809,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a06…e901backed Traktor | 49c | 400,200$195,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204,904.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7367…007fbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 51c | 400,131$204,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204,868.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd997…53f2backed Ak Bars Kazan | 52c | 1,941$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…3eefbacked Traktor | 48c | 1,941$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…5307backed Ak Bars Kazan | 53c | 1,931$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x632a…ac85backed Traktor | 47c | 1,931$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Traktor | 45c | 491$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.05 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf403…e176backed Ak Bars Kazan | 55c | 456$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Ak Bars Kazan | 53c | 415.09$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Traktor | 48c | 198$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…73ecbacked Traktor | 47c | 179.86$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Traktor | 47c | 145.1$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.9 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Traktor | 45c | 132.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.09 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Traktor | 46c | 130.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.73 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ed…a228backed Ak Bars Kazan | 46c | 129.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Traktor | 48c | 123$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Traktor | 44c | 117$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4c…2a53backed Ak Bars Kazan | 54c | 109$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.37per pick | 45cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…7f04backed Traktor | 44c | 104.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Traktor | 48c | 103.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.14 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Traktor | 46c | 103$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.62 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Traktor | 46c | 102.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Traktor | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ak Bars Kazan | 53c | 89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Traktor | 45c | 87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Traktor | 45c | 81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Traktor | 66c | 80.49$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Ak Bars Kazan | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Traktor | 54c | 76.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc226…497dbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 56c | 74.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Traktor | 46c | 59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 38c | 52.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 55c | 52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Traktor | 47c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb0…c9f8backed Ak Bars Kazan | 53c | 45.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…6b7fbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 53c | 45.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc455…8640backed Ak Bars Kazan | 53c | 44.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…32c9backed Ak Bars Kazan | 53c | 44.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked Traktor | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked Ak Bars Kazan | 53c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Ak Bars Kazan | 56c | 40.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Traktor | 44c | 38.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Ak Bars Kazan | 52c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Ak Bars Kazan | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Ak Bars Kazan | 54c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Ak Bars Kazan | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed Ak Bars Kazan | 56c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Ak Bars Kazan | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Ak Bars Kazan | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Ak Bars Kazan | 56c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed Ak Bars Kazan | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Ak Bars Kazan | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Ak Bars Kazan | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Ak Bars Kazan | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed Ak Bars Kazan | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a00…0014backed Ak Bars Kazan | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked Ak Bars Kazan | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4390…e842backed Ak Bars Kazan | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed Ak Bars Kazan | 56c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed Ak Bars Kazan | 55c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Ak Bars Kazan | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Ak Bars Kazan | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…e5bfbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed Ak Bars Kazan | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked Ak Bars Kazan | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.