TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb007…7f04

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
224
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 55 out of 100; worst UFC at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST9247.8%44 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$38.08
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$84
Nuggets vs. Bullsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+33.3%+$61.25
Spread: Magic (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$66.92
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$47.67
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+150%+$131.4
Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$138.72
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$94.72
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$126.72
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$74.52
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$145.86
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$23.25
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$97.99
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$94
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.25
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$132
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$64.8
Jazz vs. Hawksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$59.28
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$73.17
Spread: Raptors (-8.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$158.4
Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+104.1%+$146.37
Spread: Magic (-10.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Spread: Pistons (-13.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$102
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST4158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$153.9
LoL: Disguised vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+194.1%+$40.92
LoL: Disguised vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$65.37
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$191.62
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$55.13
LoL: Natus Vincere vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$202.33
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$192
LoL: SK Gaming vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+44.9%+$67.58
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+170.3%+$18.27
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$163.13
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$134.75
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+270.4%+$200.75
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21.25
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+104.1%+$122.4
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$52.18
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$177
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+65.4%+$109.52
LoL: 4 SWINES & A BUM vs Ruddy Esports (BO1) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked 4 SWINES & A BUM · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+29.9%+$32.86
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+203%+$56.95
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+47.1%+$18.56
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+128.7%+$64.49
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$54.48
LoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-Inbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$69.93
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$61.88
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST3253.1%17 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$97.23
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Sharks (BO3) - Ace South American Masters Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$39.42
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3) - Ace North American Masters Playoffsbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+100%+$24.36
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$116.3
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$114.65
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$171
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$64.8
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$92.72
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring BLAST Premier Rising Event Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$116.6
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$97.92
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+33.9%+$126.7
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+100%+$145
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$138
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$157.5
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$72
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$58.56
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+96.1%+$98
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+29.7%+$38.64
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+35.8%+$102.12
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+194.1%+$96.36
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$88
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$29.6
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$66.99
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.61
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+49.9%+$107.14
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST2152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+63.9%+$81.9
Senators vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$88
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
KHL: Traktor vs. Ak Bars Kazanbacked Traktor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+127.3%+$58.76
Maple Leafs vs. Oilersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$126
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+63.9%+$146.25
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$124.74
Penguins vs. Islandersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$151.47
Blue Jackets vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$127.4
Sabres vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$55.65
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$132
Canucks vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+40.8%+$22.33
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+112.8%+$63.6
Islanders vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$64.4
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$34.3
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$33.32
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$86.8
Blue Jackets vs. Bluesbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+100%+$50.5
Avalanche vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$40.85
Kings vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Islanders vs. Flyersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+112.8%+$16.42
All 21 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$67.83
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-Inbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$79.1
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-Inbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$204.35
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+56.3%+$108.36
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+117.4%+$152.12
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$115.67
Dota 2: OG vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$102
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$90.1
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+117.4%+$121.49
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$179.2
Dota 2: Heroic vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$177
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+50.8%+$19.36
All 12 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+42.9%+$84.06
Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+29.9%+$75.67
Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.8
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+63.9%+$139.23
Valorant: VARREL vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+51.5%+$111.18
Valorant: Team Secret vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$138
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs ULF Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$171.73
All 8 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-62.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$106.69
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$142.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$118.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$178.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.