NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Golden Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3049194b32b6791286f9256c1e8176c8c65ee6a0ecaa5ed4e18c960332b9f81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krakenof Kraken, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,030,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $983,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,030,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 505 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Kraken | 37c | 177,060$66,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,677.46 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Kraken | 37c | 151,527$55,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,581.46 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Golden Knights | 63c | 130,040$82,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,537.6 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…0399backed Golden Knights | 0c | 101,873$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Kraken | 37c | 100,726$37,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,457.45 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Golden Knights | 63c | 100,000$63,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,000 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Golden Knights | 62c | 75,789$46,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,989.19 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Golden Knights | 63c | 65,000$40,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,949.98 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Golden Knights | 13c | 59,877$7,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,563.52 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Golden Knights | 63c | 51,648$32,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,501.66 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Kraken | 36c | 33,000$11,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,119.9 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Golden Knights | 61c | 18,078$11,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,066.52 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Golden Knights | 63c | 16,792$10,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,620 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kraken | 41c | 16,073$6,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,406.74 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Golden Knights | 63c | 16,000$10,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,089.93 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Golden Knights | 63c | 13,624$8,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,566.79 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Kraken | 36c | 11,024$3,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,084.59 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Kraken | 37c | 11,000$4,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,930 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Golden Knights | 62c | 10,990$6,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,813.7 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Kraken | 71c | 10,549$7,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.26 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Golden Knights | 9c | 8,907$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.49 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Golden Knights | 17c | 8,169$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.39 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Golden Knights | 63c | 8,086$5,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,094.15 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Golden Knights | 62c | 8,064$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.68 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Kraken | 35c | 8,036$2,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,223.34 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a8…2587backed Golden Knights | 51c | 7,836$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Kraken | 37c | 7,500$2,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,725 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Kraken | 38c | 7,500$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,650 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2f…936abacked Kraken | 37c | 6,879$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,333.61 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Kraken | 36c | 6,500$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Golden Knights | 63c | 6,486$4,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,085.91 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Golden Knights | 63c | 5,200$3,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,271.18 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Kraken | 37c | 5,054$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,184.05 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Golden Knights | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Golden Knights | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.98 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Golden Knights | 63c | 4,650$2,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,929.5 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Golden Knights | 31c | 4,586$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.07 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Golden Knights | 64c | 4,500$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.96 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…8e70backed Kraken | 71c | 4,179$2,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Golden Knights | 65c | 4,170$2,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.5 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Golden Knights | 21c | 4,045$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.36 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Kraken | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Kraken | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Golden Knights | 63c | 3,886$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.18 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kraken | 67c | 3,312$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.66 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Golden Knights | 34c | 3,260$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.82 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kraken | 40c | 3,246$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.65 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Golden Knights | 62c | 3,040$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.66 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Golden Knights | 62c | 3,007$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.34 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kraken | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.98 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Kraken | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.94 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Kraken | 38c | 2,836$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.06 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Kraken | 37c | 2,710$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.3 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Kraken | 60c | 2,657$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.69 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Golden Knights | 38c | 2,540$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.29 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Golden Knights | 64c | 2,525$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.27 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Kraken | 38c | 2,512$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.44 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Golden Knights | 63c | 2,371$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.45 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Golden Knights | 63c | 2,347$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.57 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Golden Knights | 65c | 2,312$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Golden Knights | 49c | 2,246$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.18 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Golden Knights | 62c | 2,234$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.08 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…ef0fbacked Golden Knights | 59c | 2,222$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce3…6f75backed Golden Knights | 39c | 2,210$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.4 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Kraken | 38c | 2,175$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.87 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Golden Knights | 64c | 2,157$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.97 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Golden Knights | 43c | 2,148$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Kraken | 38c | 2,105$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.26 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed Golden Knights | 63c | 2,016$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Kraken | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.99 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Kraken | 37c | 1,918$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.34 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Kraken | 37c | 1,900$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Golden Knights | 63c | 1,855$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.47 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Golden Knights | 62c | 1,850$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.47 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Kraken | 38c | 1,805$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.05 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Kraken | 37c | 1,800$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Kraken | 36c | 1,800$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Golden Knights | 35c | 1,765$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.13 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Golden Knights | 16c | 1,692$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.22 | 227 | 28.2%64 W · 163 L | -17.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…9719backed Golden Knights | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Golden Knights | 61c | 1,562$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.04 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Golden Knights | 63c | 1,556$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Golden Knights | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x293f…3e52backed Kraken | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Golden Knights | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Kraken | 35c | 1,425$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.25 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Kraken | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Golden Knights | 63c | 1,351$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.35 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Golden Knights | 63c | 1,267$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698a…b8a9backed Kraken | 37c | 1,250$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…761cbacked Kraken | 72c | 1,197$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Golden Knights | 62c | 1,158$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.77 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Golden Knights | 63c | 1,130$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.05 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Kraken | 41c | 1,106$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.86 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Kraken | 36c | 1,100$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Kraken | 71c | 1,100$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.6 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Golden Knights | 36c | 1,099$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Kraken | 37c | 1,044$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.64 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked Golden Knights | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Kraken | 64c | 1,000$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.54 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Golden Knightsthis page
- Kraken vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.