TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeea6…135f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,327
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT53139.9%212 W · 319 L+18.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 531 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.71
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.39
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$99.57
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.88
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.38
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.31
LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+269.6%+$355.04
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.11
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$521.06
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$406.38
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.27
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$186.36
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.2
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+108.7%+$214.69
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$38.49
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.7
LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$257
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+1,270.6%+$877.75
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+179.8%+$170.54
Showing 25 of 531 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT45838%174 W · 284 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 458 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+179.3%+$179.33
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$258.74
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+197.5%+$267.55
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+196.2%+$186.21
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$629Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$629
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$478.24
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$525
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+123.5%+$491.98
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$558.53
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$404.61
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$405
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.81
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+208.8%+$469.72
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$254.29
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$338
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$127
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$154.28
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.3
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.7
Showing 25 of 458 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT20150.2%101 W · 100 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 201 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.67
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.75
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$275
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.93
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$146
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$549.74
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$294.45
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,028Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,028
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$117.52
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$788Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$757.45
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+90.7%+$354.58
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$77.53
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$52.77
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.42
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.3
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+146.5%+$208
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.48
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+103.2%+$25.8
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$309.22
Showing 25 of 201 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT6142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.71
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.98
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$36.76
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.55
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+87.5%+$63.5
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+363.1%+$265.1
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$112.23
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Abacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$101.12
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Bbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+132.6%+$132.56
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$427.36
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs alohasquad (BO3) - CCT Series 7 Group Abacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$369
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+177.8%+$123.93
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+55.5%+$221.87
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$153
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+42.9%+$22.71
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$99.97
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,147.46
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$267.61
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$88
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,090Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+59.5%+$648.81
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+49.3%+$142.69
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+247.5%+$1,514.44
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.22per pick34cpaid-33.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.05
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.15
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.83
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.73
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.87
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+525%+$157.5
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.97
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.5
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.83
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+53.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+76.2%+$388.81
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$222.19
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,577Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,576.67
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+246.7%+$355.3
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+374.9%+$1,012.17
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+216.7%+$878.99
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$594.24
Chargers vs. Broncosbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$113.2
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+316.7%+$158.33
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$123
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$100
All 15 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick25cpaid+85.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-28.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Dons vs. Santa Clara Broncosbacked San Francisco Dons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$200.36
Oregon State Beavers vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$300
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: MIBR vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$175
Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3)backed Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$173.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$132.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+27.1%+$76.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$23.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$602
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$90.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.