NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5376e032a8f5a389b55aeafb39b6985bfb323f8392e304bc48b1b01e9cd39850

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Pistons
Resolved: May 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $6,615,245
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $6,864,805

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,615,245 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,488 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Cavaliers	38c	471,512$179,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$292,337.66	97	45.4%44 W · 53 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers	37c	335,316$122,836 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212,480.03	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Pistons	52c	325,962$168,519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168,519.16	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Pistons	54c	235,420$126,645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126,644.64	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6211…b89ebacked Pistons	61c	212,656$129,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129,720.34	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Pistons	61c	199,997$121,998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121,998.03	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…f402backed Cavaliers	38c	169,166$64,283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104,882.72	17	76.5%13 W · 4 L	+4.6wins	+0.27per pick	49cpaid	+59.6%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Pistons	62c	157,290$97,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97,519.63	97	25.8%25 W · 72 L	-9.5wins	-0.10per pick	36cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9ac2…be3dbacked Pistons	62c	156,524$97,045 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97,044.85	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6db5…e279backed Pistons	62c	152,034$94,951 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94,950.85	53	54.7%29 W · 24 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Pistons	45c	95,273$43,268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43,268.2	292	45.5%133 W · 159 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers	44c	89,352$39,639 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49,713.02	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Pistons	62c	88,888$55,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55,110.56	566	46.5%263 W · 303 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Pistons	63c	79,937$50,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,000	50	36%18 W · 32 L	-5.2wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Cavaliers	39c	75,000$29,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45,750	111	37.8%42 W · 69 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed Pistons	66c	73,498$48,865 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48,865.25	193	88.1%170 W · 23 L	+48.6wins	+0.25per pick	63cpaid	+46.2%equal weight	75+0.22 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Cavaliers	37c	69,343$25,816 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,527.89	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Cavaliers	25c	67,124$16,502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50,621.17	259	25.9%67 W · 192 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Pistons	47c	64,770$30,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,300	224	58.9%132 W · 92 L	+10.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Cavaliers	51c	61,440$31,031 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,408.93	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0da…f3f0backed Pistons	57c	57,864$32,983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,982.56	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8628…6f0bbacked Cavaliers	38c	55,937$21,256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,680.97	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-3.9wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde7b…5f4bbacked Pistons	37c	53,984$20,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,012.25	48	25%12 W · 36 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Cavaliers	38c	53,040$19,972 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,068.46	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b52…568ebacked Cavaliers	39c	51,282$20,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,282.05	49	63.3%31 W · 18 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Cavaliers	37c	46,457$17,185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,272.16	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Pistons	45c	44,444$20,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,000	84	52.4%44 W · 40 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Cavaliers	42c	43,994$18,598 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,396.02	102	48%49 W · 53 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Cavaliers	38c	40,000$15,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,800	215	49.8%107 W · 108 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7e1…ec43backed Cavaliers	38c	40,000$15,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,800	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Cavaliers	38c	33,834$12,857 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,976.92	204	54.9%112 W · 92 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Cavaliers	73c	31,291$22,712 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,579.19	84	51.2%43 W · 41 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pistons	49c	31,208$15,235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,234.74	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…1c89backed Pistons	62c	30,645$19,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,000	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	71cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Cavaliers	75c	30,000$22,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,650	224	57.1%128 W · 96 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pistons	62c	30,000$18,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,600	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Cavaliers	36c	28,141$10,002 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,138.62	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Pistons	62c	27,039$16,797 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,797.46	344	56.7%195 W · 149 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Pistons	68c	25,934$17,619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,619.01	426	45.5%194 W · 232 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Cavaliers	37c	25,000$9,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,750	492	44.3%218 W · 274 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52f5…5e8abacked Pistons	60c	25,000$15,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,999.99	37	70.3%26 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	66cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Cavaliers	39c	23,410$9,130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,280.09	316	44.6%141 W · 175 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Pistons	12c	20,153$2,321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,321.07	88	40.9%36 W · 52 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Cavaliers	41c	18,971$7,813 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,158.59	80	61.3%49 W · 31 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Pistons	57c	18,915$10,875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,874.53	136	42.6%58 W · 78 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Pistons	58c	18,683$10,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,749.9	175	53.7%94 W · 81 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Pistons	61c	18,417$11,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,267	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3009…19a9backed Pistons	62c	18,364$11,385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,385.45	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	52cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Cavaliers	53c	17,841$9,444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,397.19	488	45.3%221 W · 267 L	+18.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Cavaliers	38c	17,719$6,725 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,994.32	360	23.1%83 W · 277 L	-15.6wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Pistons	62c	17,300$10,726 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,726.05	41	39%16 W · 25 L	-3.9wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-14%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Pistons	60c	17,269$10,324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,323.9	209	46.9%98 W · 111 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Cavaliers	37c	17,049$6,308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,740.98	618	51.6%319 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Pistons	62c	17,000$10,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,540	145	38.6%56 W · 89 L	-12.9wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2643…39aebacked Pistons	62c	16,241$10,069 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,069.38	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	57cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1de3…a1fabacked Cavaliers	24c	16,000$3,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,160	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	24cpaid	+22%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Pistons	50c	15,476$7,776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,775.91	99	38.4%38 W · 61 L	-8.4wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-26%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9a6…4fcfbacked Pistons	63c	15,255$9,614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,614.21	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Pistons	62c	14,065$8,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,720	147	66%97 W · 50 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers	39c	13,982$5,453 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,528.91	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a35…2fadbacked Cavaliers	39c	13,735$5,357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,378.24	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc59e…a3febacked Cavaliers	58c	13,696$7,881 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,815.11	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4900…4a72backed Pistons	77c	13,324$10,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,259.54	59	40.7%24 W · 35 L	-12.5wins	-0.21per pick	62cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Pistons	62c	13,061$8,098 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,098.13	271	63.5%172 W · 99 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Cavaliers	39c	13,042$5,086 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,955.46	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x844e…4efdbacked Pistons	70c	13,000$9,053 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,053.2	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+33.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6101…23bcbacked Cavaliers	26c	13,000$3,330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,669.94	54	53.7%29 W · 25 L	+3.7wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cavaliers	47c	12,201$5,735 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,466.73	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Cavaliers	46c	12,128$5,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,598.32	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b8f…449bbacked Cavaliers	74c	12,000$8,928 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,072.49	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+1.9wins	+0.19per pick	61cpaid	+41.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Cavaliers	30c	11,836$3,497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,338.65	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Pistons	10c	11,782$1,218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,217.74	141	7.8%11 W · 130 L	-7.8wins	-0.06per pick	13cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Cavaliers	37c	11,475$4,285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,189.05	325	40.3%131 W · 194 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Cavaliers	55c	11,354$6,229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,125.39	898	50.9%457 W · 441 L	+19.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98fc…6e31backed Cavaliers	55c	11,002$6,082 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,919.8	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+80.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Pistons	63c	10,973$6,937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,936.78	186	51.1%95 W · 91 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Pistons	0c	10,761$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.82	550	2.5%14 W · 536 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x96dd…17febacked Cavaliers	39c	10,186$3,973 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,213.71	86	61.6%53 W · 33 L	+8.0wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7fc6…5d88backed Pistons	79c	10,127$8,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,000	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	73cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd384…61b9backed Pistons	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Cavaliers	38c	10,000$3,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,200	83	45.8%38 W · 45 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Pistons	61c	10,000$6,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,099.82	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4bf…34f1backed Pistons	61c	9,836$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,999.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Cavaliers	38c	9,646$3,629 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,017.06	866	41.5%359 W · 507 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Cavaliers	67c	9,622$6,486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,135.6	89	23.6%21 W · 68 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Pistons	62c	9,274$5,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,750	50	50%25 W · 25 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ba6…ae0cbacked Cavaliers	49c	8,831$4,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,471.2	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fd…f43ebacked Cavaliers	40c	8,795$3,493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,301.49	107	46.7%50 W · 57 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Cavaliers	38c	8,600$3,268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,332	589	51.3%302 W · 287 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed88…e838backed Cavaliers	24c	8,567$2,054 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,512.94	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed Cavaliers	34c	8,306$2,829 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,476.08	57	47.4%27 W · 30 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers	41c	8,269$3,401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,868	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Cavaliers	31c	8,259$2,523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,735.92	127	41.7%53 W · 74 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe21e…f216backed Cavaliers	39c	8,121$3,158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,963.85	120	58.3%70 W · 50 L	+11.9wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Cavaliers	31c	8,053$2,496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,556.61	102	39.2%40 W · 62 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Cavaliers	16c	7,915$1,266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,649	211	47.4%100 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9b7…8030backed Pistons	68c	7,862$5,337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,336.93	25	80%20 W · 5 L	+2.5wins	+0.10per pick	70cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Pistons	57c	7,607$4,302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,302.27	263	37.3%98 W · 165 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Cavaliers	39c	7,512$2,929 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,582.02	98	38.8%38 W · 60 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe16e…c3c7backed Cavaliers	39c	7,500$2,925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,575	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-3.2wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cavaliers vs. Pistonsthis page
1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 102.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5Over won
Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 0.5No won
Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 2.5No won
Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Jalen Duren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
Jalen Duren: Points O/U 11.5No won
Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
James Harden: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Pistons won
Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Cavaliers won
Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event