NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a7ffdca634646538ec015b6875f3e9ddf49c7c453d9b4aa3608eb3b69c030cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Pistons, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Pistons | 48c | 10,420$4,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,967.26 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 7,000$3,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,391.02 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cavaliers | 55c | 5,359$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.82 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Pistons | 44c | 4,318$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Cavaliers | 57c | 3,511$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.68 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Pistons | 44c | 3,000$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.1 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Pistons | 45c | 2,719$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.76 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…ff91backed Pistons | 45c | 2,717$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.47 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Cavaliers | 57c | 2,662$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.5 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0de…8048backed Cavaliers | 57c | 2,476$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.34 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Pistons | 48c | 2,228$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.68 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pistons | 44c | 2,125$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.06 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 37c | 2,119$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.54 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,100$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Pistons | 37c | 2,046$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.14 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 2,040$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.6 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Cavaliers | 49c | 2,024$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.3 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Pistons | 43c | 1,877$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.28 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Cavaliers | 57c | 1,826$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.94 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Cavaliers | 46c | 1,607$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.15 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 43c | 1,397$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.83 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pistons | 67c | 1,301$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.42 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Pistons | 42c | 1,270$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.42 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 1,054$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.18 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pistons | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Pistons | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Cavaliers | 56c | 999.95$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.98 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Pistons | 43c | 967.41$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.99 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 959.45$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.75 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Cavaliers | 62c | 955.74$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.52 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80a9…ad8bbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 893$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.92 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Pistons | 50c | 868.04$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.35 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Pistons | 44c | 750$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Pistons | 44c | 658.95$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…00bcbacked Cavaliers | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cavaliers | 52c | 579.78$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.86 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Cavaliers | 56c | 559.22$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.02 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…650cbacked Cavaliers | 58c | 531.98$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.97 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…1992backed Cavaliers | 52c | 484.05$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.05 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Pistons | 44c | 479.73$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.39 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers | 52c | 476.95$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.03 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Cavaliers | 70c | 462.19$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.78 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Pistons | 43c | 448.36$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.79 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Cavaliers | 73c | 432$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.64 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Pistons | 44c | 426.6$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.7 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Cavaliers | 49c | 411$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.01 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Cavaliers | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Cavaliers | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 346 | 61.6%213 W · 133 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa465…81ccbacked Cavaliers | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Pistons | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…4f6dbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 340$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Cavaliers | 71c | 329$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.41 | 274 | 63.5%174 W · 100 L | +34.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Cavaliers | 47c | 327.95$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.73 | 272 | 45.6%124 W · 148 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Cavaliers | 70c | 320.3$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.09 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Cavaliers | 57c | 315.79$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.79 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…28d2backed Cavaliers | 57c | 314.9$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.59 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Cavaliers | 47c | 308.37$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.57 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 305.39$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.54 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Cavaliers | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Pistons | 40c | 299.93$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.87 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cavaliers | 62c | 299.68$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.94 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…c02abacked Cavaliers | 28c | 291.91$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.17 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pistons | 50c | 275$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.34 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…ea68backed Pistons | 42c | 271$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 362 | 48.1%174 W · 188 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Cavaliers | 70c | 235.56$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.67 | 185 | 57.3%106 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cavaliers | 55c | 228$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Pistons | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 535 | 39.6%212 W · 323 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Cavaliers | 71c | 221.5$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.23 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Cavaliers | 34c | 197.9$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.02 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 43c | 190.35$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.24 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…e26abacked Cavaliers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Cavaliers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Cavaliers | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…f399backed Pistons | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Cavaliers | 51c | 130.39$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Cavaliers | 51c | 130.39$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Pistons | 44c | 108.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Pistons | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Cavaliers | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pistons | 43c | 94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8e…cdcbbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8983…d301backed Cavaliers | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Pistons | 44c | 88.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Cavaliers | 34c | 84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Cavaliers | 51c | 83.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked Cavaliers | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Pistons | 44c | 77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x375f…b494backed Cavaliers | 57c | 75.09$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Cavaliers | 34c | 75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Pistons | 43c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Pistons | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 271 | 38.7%105 W · 166 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Cavaliers | 56c | 71.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Pistons | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Pistons | 44c | 67.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Cavaliers | 70c | 62.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Pistons | 71c | 62.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Pistons | 35c | 57.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Cavaliers vs. PistonsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 102.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5Over won
- Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 2.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Cavaliers won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.