TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x375f…b494

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$68.16
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$20.48
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.96
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$30.46
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.74
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.65
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$25.4
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$31.41
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$17.17
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$40.67
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$42.39
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$32.29
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$31.4
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.58
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.38
Magic vs. 76ers: 1H Moneylinebacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.72
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Colombia leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$53.8
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 3 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$46.4
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.43
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.2
Harry Kane: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.22
Jordan vs. Algeria: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.66
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$86.53
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.89
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$13.01
Spread: Austria (-1.5)backed Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$18.43
Senegal leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$91.29
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+29.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$72.89
Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$24.86
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$20.49
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$39.68
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$12.21
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$20.49
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+121.1%+$28.34
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.94
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.3
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+130.2%+$32.16
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+74.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$67.84
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$106.19
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$60.42
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+184%+$75.45
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 5 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.08
Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Spread: Dallas Wings (-3.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.77
All 5 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+126.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arkansas advance to the Final Four?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-7.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.83
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.