MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55be331898a7bbb78cc768f42b78b178d0ad25f103fd6aecd08f5ade2ba5791f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Minnesota Twins, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $402,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $416,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $402,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 308 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89dd…f662backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 204,471$94,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,414.61 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 195,648$105,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,649.92 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 19,543$9,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,522.26 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 19,177$10,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,355.69 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…847dbacked Minnesota Twins | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 14,140$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Minnesota Twins | 65c | 12,732$8,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,476.09 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 7,485$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,973.33 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 0c | 7,364$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Minnesota Twins | 62c | 7,221$4,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,725.75 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 7,210$3,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,773.13 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 77c | 6,950$5,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.05 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 0c | 5,700$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 5,283$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.97 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 13c | 3,902$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.37 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 3,795$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.8 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 7c | 3,400$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 3,333$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 3,330$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.79 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.97 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Minnesota Twins | 65c | 2,656$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.75 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Twins | 75c | 2,477$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.63 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 67c | 2,470$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.48 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 1,974$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 1,917$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.28 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 1,815$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.09 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Minnesota Twins | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.84 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Minnesota Twins | 65c | 1,577$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.19 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 1,318$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.38 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 6c | 1,300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.18 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,176$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.15 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 1,146$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.4 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 1,076$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.52 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Minnesota Twins | 75c | 933$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.88 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 16c | 884.43$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.88 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Minnesota Twins | 66c | 800$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…5926backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 24c | 759.37$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.52 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 750$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…e9dcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 679.09$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.06 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 676.66$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.28 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edc…ea1dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 664.49$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 662.67$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.47 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Minnesota Twins | 65c | 598.87$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.06 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 585.93$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.54 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 585.32$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.93 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcd…0320backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 559.49$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.53 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 499.98$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.85 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Minnesota Twins | 73c | 471.12$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.33 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…2b32backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 445$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 444$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Minnesota Twins | 66c | 439.13$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.47 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Minnesota Twins | 74c | 424.64$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 411.94$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.94 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 400$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.33 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 399.88$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.94 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 383.52$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.1 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 32c | 382$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.52 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 3c | 378.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa547…95ebbacked Minnesota Twins | 79c | 360$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.91 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 352.39$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.88 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 340$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…4555backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 331$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.74 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 327$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.58 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc927…a3c2backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 307.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 305.71$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.76 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 292.67$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.18 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Minnesota Twins | 63c | 285.71$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.71 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f4…200ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d81…c50fbacked Minnesota Twins | 48c | 270.29$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +123%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34f2…3bc2backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 269.99$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.49 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 249.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Minnesota Twins | 69c | 240$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Minnesota Twins | 67c | 230.9$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.14 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…17c5backed Minnesota Twins | 69c | 230.73$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.89 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Minnesota Twins | 64c | 230.26$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.89 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Minnesota Twins | 61c | 220$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Minnesota Twins | 73c | 215.42$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.61 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 215$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.25 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf05…5efcbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 202.08$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.08 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 21c | 199.47$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 190.91$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 190.53$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.37 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacksthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 11.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 12.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)Minnesota Twins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.