TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfffa…17c5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
433
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NBA, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 61 out of 100; worst Tennis at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT36545.2%165 W · 200 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 365 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$64.97
Los Cabos Open: Coleman Wong vs Arthur Geabacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.91
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.94
Los Cabos Open: Coleman Wong vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$18.4
Los Cabos Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Arthur Geabacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+149.9%+$25.36
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ugo Humbert vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.43
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.41
San Marino: Thiago Monteiro vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.43
Vancouver: Daniel Milavsky vs Keegan Ricebacked Keegan Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+144%+$24.96
The Memphis Classic: Yexin Ma vs Caty McNallybacked Yexin Ma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
San Marino: Francesco Maestrelli vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Juan Pablo Varillas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$66.15
Vancouver: Mai Hontama vs Himeno Sakatsumebacked Himeno Sakatsume · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.05
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Janice Tjen vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$208.9
Bonn: Henri Squire vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeidabacked Henri Squire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.21
Samsun: Dan Added vs Kenta Miyoshibacked Kenta Miyoshi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$16.45
Los Cabos Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.28
Los Cabos Open: Bernard Tomic vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.36
Vancouver: Yosuke Watanuki vs Hayato Matsuokabacked Yosuke Watanuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.82
Los Cabos Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tristan Boyerbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$149.2
Vancouver: Benjamin Bonzi vs Michael Mmohbacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$11.28
Vancouver: Liam Broady vs Jay Dylan Friendbacked Liam Broady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.02
Vancouver: Harry Wendelken vs Keegan Ricebacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.79
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Elisabetta Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+124%+$56
Vancouver: J.J. Wolf vs Zhizhen Zhangbacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.54
Bonn: Niels McDonald vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Jurij Rodionov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$33.21
Showing 25 of 365 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT4759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+84.4%+$53.49
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$155.74
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+113.3%+$144.12
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$201.22
Athletics vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$46.32
Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.07
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.14
Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$15.05
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$44.64
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.47
Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangersbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$49.72
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.96
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.01
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$57.56
Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$116.62
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Metsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+94.6%+$30.7
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.53
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+180.1%+$117.64
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.85
Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+76.3%+$164.84
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.4
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.88
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$70.75
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$12.72
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$20.33
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$16.09
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$11.07
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+114.5%+$13.81
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+97.9%+$320.46
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.55
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.36
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$120.13
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$166.25
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.99
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$89.16
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$63.28
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$191.35
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+91.5%+$190.9
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.03
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+189.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+414.9%+$1,160.52
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$51.78
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$141.1
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+222.5%+$212.49
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$8.24
All 5 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Wings vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.17
New York Liberty vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$89.16
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.