MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fac468f982004edb492143b18fcae0a2ff5c7571c4a6be784a392e2818901ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof Arizona Diamondbacks, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $297,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $364,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b21…a230backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 70,000$40,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,564.53 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 35c | 33,936$11,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,842.92 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 18,086$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 10,171$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,171.02 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 10,068$4,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,150.05 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,299.94 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed St. Louis Cardinals | 77c | 8,763$6,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.25 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 6,897$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,896.55 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 4,310$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.34 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 78c | 4,217$3,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.33 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 3,844$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.65 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 3,798$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.14 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 3,786$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 3,751$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.4 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 3,498$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.18 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 3,112$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.41 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 3,005$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.08 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 2,880$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.13 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 2,618$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.56 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed St. Louis Cardinals | 68c | 2,277$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.8 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 2,010$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.67 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 1,989$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.57 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,835$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.89 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 1,800$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.81 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 1,663$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.74 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 23c | 1,600$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,570$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.31 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 1,545$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.09 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed St. Louis Cardinals | 68c | 1,443$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.93 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,293$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.19 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,111$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.67 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 16c | 846.44$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 30c | 824.48$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.07 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 820$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.5 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 800.14$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.63 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 14c | 800$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 72c | 797.77$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.95 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 761$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.62 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 705.63$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.64 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 699.31$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.71 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…44fdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 687.31$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.67 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 602.54$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.69 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 594.12$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.53 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 588.8$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.3 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 526.48$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.48 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…e9dcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 524.2$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.16 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 33c | 446.49$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.22 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 435$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.35 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 431$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.71 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 410$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.3 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 404.26$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.83 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 399.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 399$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.59 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 16c | 392.76$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 340.72$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.02 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 327.59$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.2 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 304.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.64 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 297.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.06 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 295.59$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.85 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 275$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.25 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…4865backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 244.19$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 237.21$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 229.08$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.56 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…2b20backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 222.81$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…17c5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 68c | 222.17$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.75 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb05e…599abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 214.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 16c | 199.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 194$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.54 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 193.1$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 193$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…095cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 173.16$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.73 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed St. Louis Cardinals | 80c | 168.63$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 164.13$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.58 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 8c | 160$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…7398backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 160$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 655 | 42.4%278 W · 377 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 160$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -10.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x41dd…6c94backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…4555backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 152.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed St. Louis Cardinals | 69c | 143$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 378 | 68.8%260 W · 118 L | +25.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 142.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…1862backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 353 | 53.8%190 W · 163 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 136.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 319 | 63%201 W · 118 L | +27.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis CardinalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.