TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x41dd…6c94

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
166
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: La Liga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 56 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT8658.1%50 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 86 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankeesbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.66
Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Showing 25 of 86 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT3756.8%21 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cordenons: Federico Bondioli vs Guido Justobacked Guido Justo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Trieste: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Dylan Dietrichbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$72.83
Bastad: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Darja Semenistajabacked Darja Semenistaja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Brasov: Maks Kasnikowski vs Andres Santamartabacked Maks Kasnikowski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
Wimbledon ATP: Valentin Royer vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brasov: Francesco Maestrelli vs Ognjen Milicbacked Ognjen Milic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Troyes: Lorenzo Giustino vs Svyatoslav Gulinbacked Svyatoslav Gulin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon WTA: Katerina Siniakova vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Wimbledon WTA: Leylah Fernandez vs Janice Tjenbacked Janice Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon WTA: Claire Liu vs Hanne Vandewinkelbacked Hanne Vandewinkel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon ATP: Michael Zheng vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Troyes: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Philip Henningbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Brasov: Harold Mayot vs Andrej Nedicbacked Andrej Nedic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofnerbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon WTA: Bianca Andreescu vs Shuai Zhangbacked Bianca Andreescu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brasov: Henri Squire vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Henri Squire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$7.51
Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon WTA: Yulia Putintseva vs Tatjana Mariabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Wimbledon WTA: Ann Li vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon WTA: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon ATP: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Milan: Daniel Rincon vs Jacopo Vasamibacked Daniel Rincon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Max Basingbacked Shintaro Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Wimbledon WTA: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintsevabacked Sara Sorribes Tormo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT7100%7 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick75cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick74cpaid-43.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick77cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.