Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7eef459729084d4071d802abce00a55ad1b6627b4e64c6259db76408943ca8d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 27c | 13,029$3,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,457.21 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 73c | 6,579$4,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,802.7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 73c | 3,718$2,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.2 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 3,462$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,527.39 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x837c…5771backed Yes | 28c | 3,419$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 40c | 2,783$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.73 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 1,628$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.24 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 73c | 1,570$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.83 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 71c | 1,345$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.75 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 1,208$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.16 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 53c | 969.6$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.85 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 33c | 892.95$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.05 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 51c | 872.53$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.6 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 63c | 793.98$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.21 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 71cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…02d2backed No | 71c | 765.44$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.19 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed No | 73c | 721.92$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3946…b565backed Yes | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 71c | 676.22$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.22 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd733…b175backed Yes | 27c | 613$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.49 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 590.29$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.48 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed No | 64c | 560$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81be…a441backed Yes | 37c | 484$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 30c | 459.11$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.11 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Yes | 48c | 446.59$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.85 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…8e52backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c9…e4b3backed Yes | 55c | 339.8$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 60c | 333.46$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.7 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 66c | 323.97$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.7 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked No | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 72c | 305.71$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.27 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed Yes | 27c | 299.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ad…241bbacked No | 73c | 265.73$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.98 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 38c | 246.83$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 72c | 243.06$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 60c | 204.8$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.88 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 201.97$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.44 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed No | 47c | 199.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 69c | 199.68$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.64 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a6…fec7backed No | 32c | 188.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 27c | 182.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.32 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…9826backed Yes | 58c | 171.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.54 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…57afbacked Yes | 40c | 150.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.85 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4846…ba76backed No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 72c | 119.97$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.38 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 52c | 119.25$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.24 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…ee29backed No | 73c | 109.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Yes | 27c | 109.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.62 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…5c4bbacked Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 32c | 101.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.18 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 147 | 55.8%82 W · 65 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb831…738ebacked Yes | 30c | 92.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 72c | 87.04$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 73c | 80.93$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.08 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 41c | 80.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed No | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -5.4wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 27c | 77.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 26c | 77.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…e209backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 27cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 27c | 68.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 66c | 66.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…6829backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +75%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 28c | 61.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 64c | 60.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed No | 37c | 59.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 51c | 58.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 61c | 55.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 71c | 54.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9a…c3acbacked Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 27c | 53.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Yes | 37c | 48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 28c | 47.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc20…ec44backed No | 59c | 46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba8…958dbacked Yes | 26c | 45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +279.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 72c | 42.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 44c | 42.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b77…80e6backed No | 74c | 42.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…186cbacked Yes | 28c | 41.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…8bb3backed Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceaa…0811backed Yes | 28c | 36.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3184…fe28backed Yes | 57c | 34.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf47…6c2ebacked No | 74c | 34.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…af49backed Yes | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…1dc4backed Yes | 59c | 28.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41dd…6c94backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 75cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 53c | 27.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?this page
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-03?No won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.