Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd10bff50a964647aff5027720f1b6d4133a646d4244db94f175423bb415f8e1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08f0…b809backed Yes | 28c | 15,599$4,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,411.66 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 29c | 12,105$3,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,481.05 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Yes | 34c | 7,686$2,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,613.19 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 7,018$4,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.28 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 65c | 6,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.98 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.95 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Yes | 34c | 4,041$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 3,338$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.93 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 35c | 3,060$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.88 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…ab24backed No | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…9f77backed Yes | 33c | 3,000$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 35c | 2,550$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.43 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 35c | 2,222$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.7 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 67c | 2,054$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.06 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 65c | 2,046$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 31c | 2,036$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.17 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Yes | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes | 32c | 2,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,962$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.55 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 71c | 1,864$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.66 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 28c | 1,800$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 35c | 1,786$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 1,647$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.87 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 26c | 1,639$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.01 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc68a…07f0backed Yes | 35c | 1,373$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…c32ebacked Yes | 62c | 1,371$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 71c | 1,300$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 35c | 1,137$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 71c | 1,003$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 66c | 903$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.66 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 77c | 868$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.9 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 71c | 800$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 731.05$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.81 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…e943backed Yes | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 4c | 700$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 59c | 649.51$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.32 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15f3…c9d2backed Yes | 34c | 639.51$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.3 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 46cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 79c | 619.25$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.53 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x903e…2829backed Yes | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 66c | 575.09$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.28 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…ce68backed Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 65c | 554.69$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.14 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…f8c7backed No | 65c | 547$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes | 25c | 506$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -86%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 30c | 490$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.18 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Yes | 34c | 488.67$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 68c | 460$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…d51ebacked No | 38c | 455.26$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 29c | 438.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.15 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Yes | 27c | 418.32$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.95 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 35c | 414.86$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.2 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…9d5cbacked No | 67c | 408.2$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd096…2f6fbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 27c | 391.05$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.51 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 29c | 385$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.65 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 20c | 381.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.57 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 24c | 377.92$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.7 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…3d83backed Yes | 68c | 325.07$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…5ac3backed Yes | 62c | 299.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 28c | 286$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…57afbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 9c | 271.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Yes | 34c | 268.35$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…7cf5backed Yes | 35c | 255.42$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Yes | 35c | 254$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…b04abacked Yes | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Yes | 32c | 249.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 34c | 235.16$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 37cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Yes | 67c | 225$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…62d7backed Yes | 25c | 220.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 65c | 213.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.12 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c9…e4b3backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Yes | 28c | 206.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 28c | 201.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 23c | 198.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a6…fec7backed Yes | 26c | 194.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 65c | 179.98$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 172.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 155.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 66c | 151.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 66c | 149.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.