TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf285…ab24

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
156
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: La Liga, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 58 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9253.3%49 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$3,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,340
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,358Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+29%+$1,265.25
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,571Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$1,014.69
Spain to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$276.33
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,907Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$670.2
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,970Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,970
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$109.03
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.18
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Uruguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$400
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.45
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$650
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,528Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$672
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$429.99
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,728Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+91.2%+$2,486.91
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,091Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,091
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,840Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$1,160
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$77.7
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$69.17
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$795Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$795
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)backed IR Iran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$184
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.86
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,981Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,980.66
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$5,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,949.96
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,560
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$5,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,019.33
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,775Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,775
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,900Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$6,100
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,950Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+84.9%+$5,049.93
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,959Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,959.34
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$2,800
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,359.98
Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)backed West Ham United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,249
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$547Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$547.37
Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$661Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,175.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+61.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,179.13
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,920Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,080
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,649.98
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,000
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$1,979.99
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$865Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$486.8
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,280
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,899.99
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,312Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,312
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+54.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,434Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,433.79
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,219.97
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$960
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,020
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$960
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,060Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$2,939.94
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,320Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,679.97
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$910Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$775.4
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+53.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Palermo: Francesca Jones vs Alevtina Ibragimovabacked Francesca Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$7,569Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$3,728.12
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,500
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarinibacked Federico Coria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+203%+$294.17
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,960Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$3,039.95
All 4 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.76
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,680Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$1,320
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,070Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$930
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,410Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,409.99
All 4 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+90.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+69.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)backed FC St. Pauli 1910 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$1,070
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,950Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,049.99
Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$19.32
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+112.8%+$518.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+102.9%+$149.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Como 1907 vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$900
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,380Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$620
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$976Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+43%+$419.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,935Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,935
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.