Bundesliga · resolved market
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fd899f6603b584fd3f109e27de08ce8d52c14759387b98734d71229637828cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC St. Pauli 1910of RB Leipzig, FC St. Pauli 1910
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed RB Leipzig | 52c | 24,706$12,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,947.13 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 49c | 13,390$6,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,787.33 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,333.33 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked RB Leipzig | 55c | 7,132$3,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,922.35 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed RB Leipzig | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed RB Leipzig | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.96 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 45c | 3,852$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.76 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed RB Leipzig | 47c | 3,087$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed RB Leipzig | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…ab24backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 47c | 2,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed RB Leipzig | 52c | 1,700$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed RB Leipzig | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.85 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed RB Leipzig | 52c | 1,270$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.4 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked RB Leipzig | 54c | 1,211$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 47c | 1,158$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 48c | 1,158$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 45c | 1,136$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.2 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 53c | 1,111$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.17 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 48c | 1,072$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.94 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 48c | 1,031$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.16 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed RB Leipzig | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 47c | 999.98$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +42%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked RB Leipzig | 52c | 999.61$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.8 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 46c | 876.96$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.67 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 45c | 797$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.35 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 47c | 700$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 47c | 650$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.5 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 47c | 632.99$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.48 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 17c | 614.54$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.72 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked RB Leipzig | 57c | 614.43$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…abcebacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 48c | 514.58$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed RB Leipzig | 52c | 512.13$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.31 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 18c | 509$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.86 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 45c | 457.42$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.76 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x753e…5c11backed RB Leipzig | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed RB Leipzig | 55c | 345.52$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.04 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 48c | 336.17$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 48c | 321.25$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.85 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 45c | 308.95$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.47 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…9d5cbacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 46c | 298.55$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.43 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 48c | 275.92$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.48 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed RB Leipzig | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed RB Leipzig | 51c | 241.78$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.31 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed RB Leipzig | 54c | 238.94$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.22 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 45c | 236.1$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.86 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 48c | 230.31$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.44 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 51c | 204.73$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +10.4wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…62d7backed RB Leipzig | 49c | 204.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 48c | 201.65$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.5 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked RB Leipzig | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 52c | 199.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 54c | 197.46$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked RB Leipzig | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked RB Leipzig | 53c | 187.74$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed RB Leipzig | 55c | 182.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked RB Leipzig | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2713…43b2backed RB Leipzig | 54c | 180.05$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed RB Leipzig | 56c | 176.32$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 45c | 170$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.77 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 47c | 154$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.86 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 48c | 146.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked RB Leipzig | 54c | 145$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 48c | 135.03$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.22 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 48c | 120.81$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.82 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 48c | 110.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed RB Leipzig | 52c | 99.57$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 27c | 96.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 47c | 93.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…bb76backed RB Leipzig | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked RB Leipzig | 52c | 76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf813…dbc4backed RB Leipzig | 44c | 72.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 31c | 71.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed RB Leipzig | 52c | 70.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed RB Leipzig | 52c | 69.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed RB Leipzig | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15db…1da8backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 46c | 61.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 56c | 58.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 48c | 58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked RB Leipzig | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked FC St. Pauli 1910 | 36c | 55.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 147 | 55.8%82 W · 65 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed RB Leipzig | 56c | 53.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 147 | 58.5%86 W · 61 L | +15.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed FC St. Pauli 1910 | 48c | 53.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed RB Leipzig | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)this page
- RB Leipzig vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RB Leipzig vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 1.5Over won
- RB Leipzig vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5Over won
- RB Leipzig vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 3.5Under won
- RB Leipzig vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)RB Leipzig won
- Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-2.5)RB Leipzig won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-2.5)FC St. Pauli 1910 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.