Bundesliga · resolved market
RB Leipzig vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3034e896e94b3423d9add8581c8a00ac395ffe4a9007e7e0e2ecefc05dfcc3df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Over | 49c | 43,062$21,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,045.94 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 47c | 38,236$17,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,909.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 25,003$13,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,946.1 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Over | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.86 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 9,453$5,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,857.84 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 60c | 6,979$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,818.22 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Under | 51c | 4,934$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 50c | 4,383$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.62 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 4,090$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.5 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Under | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 53c | 3,200$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e8…b85ebacked Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.27 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 48c | 2,557$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 53c | 2,400$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 51c | 2,400$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d7babacked Over | 36c | 2,089$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 14c | 2,060$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.1 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d8…8dd3backed Under | 62c | 1,923$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e8…6854backed Under | 51c | 1,820$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 55c | 1,703$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.66 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 1,600$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.8 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Over | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Over | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 15c | 1,353$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.81 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 51c | 1,274$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.26 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 48c | 1,268$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.66 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 53c | 1,226$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.42 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 51c | 1,111$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.39 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 52c | 1,010$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.79 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 51c | 1,000$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Under | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +42%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 25c | 954.4$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.74 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 39c | 853.85$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 52c | 840.54$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.46 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +10.4wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 44c | 831.89$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.03 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…b58fbacked Under | 55c | 787.26$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 68c | 718.15$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.2 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 53c | 700$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 62c | 699.23$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.23 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 51c | 681.47$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.92 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 53c | 650$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.5 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 53c | 649.91$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.96 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 52c | 599.99$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.78 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Over | 48c | 596.09$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 50c | 575.02$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.51 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 66c | 546.4$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.58 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 48c | 545.73$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.04 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 60c | 539.96$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.13 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 53c | 531.49$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.56 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Over | 51c | 509.8$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 54c | 499.49$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.11 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 48c | 485.81$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.38 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Under | 55c | 480.05$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.51 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 53c | 480$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.6 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 53c | 480$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.6 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 51c | 480$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.6 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 44c | 452.27$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 51c | 452$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.48 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 68c | 447.05$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.47 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 76c | 423.47$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.63 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Under | 57c | 403.6$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 19c | 401.21$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.6 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 53c | 393$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.71 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 55c | 376.27$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.32 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 51c | 360$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.2 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 51c | 360$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.2 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 52c | 339.11$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.24 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 53c | 320$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.4 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…e8d8backed Over | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 23c | 304.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Over | 34c | 289.41$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 47c | 281.53$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.32 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 53c | 280$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.6 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 53c | 280$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.6 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Under | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 54c | 235$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.7 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 53c | 225$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.87 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Under | 68c | 224.09$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.71 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 51c | 204.93$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.33 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.05 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 55c | 185$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RB Leipzig vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 3.5this page
- RB Leipzig vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RB Leipzig vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 1.5Over won
- RB Leipzig vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5Over won
- RB Leipzig vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)RB Leipzig won
- Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-2.5)RB Leipzig won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)FC St. Pauli 1910 won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-2.5)FC St. Pauli 1910 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.