TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0bc4…0fd1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
278
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: La Liga, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT5347.2%25 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$36.83
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$33.23
1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$35.78
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$15.86
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24.92
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.77
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.31
1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$31.6
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$20.43
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$31.5
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47.89
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$63.89
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$68.03
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT5255.8%29 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)backed Uruguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.62
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$78.78
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$47.49
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$20.73
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$24.36
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$32.67
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
England vs. Croatia: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$29.16
England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$26.77
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$65.25
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
IR Iran leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$44.44
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$59.64
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$28.1
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.9
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Sweden leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
Netherlands vs. Japan: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$31.82
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT4744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grêmio FBPA vs. Montevideo City Torque: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Club Nacional de Football vs. CD Coquimbo Unido: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.23
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
CA Peñarol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.92
Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
CA River Plate vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$37
Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+103.4%+$30.56
Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)backed Club Bolívar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$19.15
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
CF Cruz Azul vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.76
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
CA Mineiro vs. Botafogo FR: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$18
CA Mineiro vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will EC Bahia vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
CD Guadalajara vs. Tigres de la UANL: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$25.19
Fluminense FC vs. EC Vitória: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$26.24
Coritiba FBC vs. SC Internacional: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Will CA Platense win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$19.55
Botafogo FR vs. Racing Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.7
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$26.41
Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.15
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$33.97
Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$33.14
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$24.65
CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$56.59
Real Betis Balompié leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will Real Oviedo vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$34.07
Getafe CF leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Athletic Club vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Athletic Club vs. Valencia CF: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$31.66
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$55.65
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$36
Will Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$16.39
Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.33
Real Betis Balompié leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+151.2%+$45.37
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$18
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Belal Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Brendan Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$19.26
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bryce Mitchell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$25.45
Will Iwo Baraniewski win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22.79
Will Alessandro Costa win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$22.73
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Daniel Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.95
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sean Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$43.17
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Yaroslav Amosov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$19.69
UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Brando Pericic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$38.43
Will Tai Tuivasa win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Raoni Barcelos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$26.77
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$20.1
UFC Fight Night: Eric McConico vs. Rodolfo Vieira (null, Prelims)backed Rodolfo Vieira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.71
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.25
All 23 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$25.94
Will SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Torino FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$23.86
Will Como 1907 vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$65.33
Pisa SC vs. US Lecce: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+102.9%+$36
Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.22
Will AC Milan vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.37
Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$32.64
Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$22.01
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$46.88
ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.36
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Halle Open: Joao Fonseca vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Darderi (+1.5)backed Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.3
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.21
Set 1 Winner: Paul vs Etcheverrybacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Paris: Anastasia Zakharova vs Katie Boulterbacked Anastasia Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.75
Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Pellegrino (+1.5)backed Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+74%+$55.51
Set Handicap: Nakashima (-1.5) vs Basilashvili (+1.5)backed Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$43.21
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexei Popyrin vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Jaume Munarbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$20.02
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Leolia Jeanjean vs Beatriz Haddad Maiabacked Leolia Jeanjean · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$30.46
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Hugo Dellien vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$30.26
Casper Ruud vs. Alexander Blockx: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Madrid Open: Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodarbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.45
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-50.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$24.32
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.33
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$22.89
Will Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Manchester City FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Liverpool FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$19.55
Chelsea FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.36
Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.09
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.31
All 14 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-51.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$21.73
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$19.31
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$23.33
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rio Ave FC vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$32.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.