Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb99c1e57158936786a81b3c98e7f45f4e3a6ff36aafc71f60eb6152f45d9d4cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 51c | 7,115$3,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,628.5 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Over | 49c | 6,125$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,135.03 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Under | 52c | 2,017$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.87 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 46c | 1,140$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.11 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 261 | 55.9%146 W · 115 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 324 | 57.7%187 W · 137 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 50c | 377.9$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.95 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 49c | 364.9$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.1 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Under | 55c | 350$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 520 | 45%234 W · 286 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…0e69backed Under | 54c | 301.85$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3105…2e7ebacked Over | 53c | 292.4$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.53 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 43c | 284.23$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.23 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 49c | 282.78$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.22 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ef…184dbacked Under | 54c | 232.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.44 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 47c | 228.3$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.3 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Over | 49c | 204.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.1 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…54b3backed Under | 53c | 189.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…997cbacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…e58dbacked Under | 53c | 182.57$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 286 | 55.9%160 W · 126 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 52c | 145.21$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.51 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 57c | 110.46$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.32 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 50c | 101.65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Over | 50c | 100.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 191 | 61.8%118 W · 73 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…2a96backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 116 | 31%36 W · 80 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d6…8267backed Over | 51c | 98.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…16e6backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…88b9backed Under | 53c | 94.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 278 | 48.2%134 W · 144 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 50c | 92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b19…babebacked Under | 65c | 76.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 46c | 63.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 194 | 37.6%73 W · 121 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 48c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c28…abe9backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 42c | 59.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x429c…a974backed Over | 59c | 50.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 167 | 54.5%91 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Over | 57c | 44.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…3d27backed Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Over | 59c | 41.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 42c | 40.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…3bbebacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Over | 51c | 30.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9f…7e5dbacked Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 204 | 63.2%129 W · 75 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1eb…1240backed Under | 75c | 19.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?No won
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)T1 won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Hanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.