TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x143c…88b9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
353
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 57 out of 100; worst Middle East at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT27848.2%134 W · 144 L-11.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 278 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+250.9%+$50.17
Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.56
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.92
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.14
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.13
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.14
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 278 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.01
Pelicans vs. Kings: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.71
Spread: Raptors (-11.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$23.41
Spread: Celtics (-16.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.7
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.18
Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Spread: Clippers (-10.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Bucks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$14.78
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Knicks vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$26.6
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+469.5%+$70.42
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$238.1
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$26.03
All 25 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$46.1
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$376
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+214.3%+$428.57
Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+71.8%+$71.81
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$102
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+99.3%+$99.26
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+70.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.