Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs OG (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01231a52d7399d8ba76d7b629b2680c049ba08ce7c32c62d08ad77beb587e7bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed MOUZ | 64c | 22,366$14,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,042.21 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed OG | 35c | 15,386$5,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,384.99 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked MOUZ | 67c | 9,386$6,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070.86 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked OG | 33c | 6,274$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.38 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed OG | 34c | 5,680$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.21 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed OG | 35c | 3,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.99 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked OG | 35c | 3,404$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.55 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…abc9backed OG | 37c | 3,312$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.86 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed MOUZ | 65c | 3,244$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.74 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked MOUZ | 65c | 3,060$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.75 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed OG | 35c | 3,009$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.11 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed MOUZ | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed OG | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.98 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d0…8449backed MOUZ | 66c | 2,699$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb78f…3a77backed MOUZ | 65c | 2,557$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.07 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed MOUZ | 65c | 2,465$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.75 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed OG | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed OG | 32c | 1,928$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.8 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed MOUZ | 68c | 1,914$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.34 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked MOUZ | 65c | 1,880$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.16 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…5769backed MOUZ | 65c | 1,751$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.85 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7f…472ebacked MOUZ | 64c | 1,698$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b6…d8debacked OG | 36c | 1,696$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d74…2403backed OG | 35c | 1,677$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed OG | 36c | 1,675$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked OG | 34c | 1,481$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.26 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed OG | 38c | 1,321$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked OG | 35c | 1,300$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed OG | 36c | 1,250$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked MOUZ | 65c | 1,234$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.07 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed MOUZ | 64c | 1,193$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.3 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 33c | 1,061$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.57 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed OG | 34c | 1,014$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.51 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked OG | 28c | 1,010$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.24 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked MOUZ | 65c | 1,003$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.08 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed MOUZ | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed OG | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed MOUZ | 64c | 999.98$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.99 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked MOUZ | 65c | 906.92$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.92 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed OG | 36c | 901.45$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.23 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d47…444fbacked MOUZ | 64c | 874.55$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.84 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b32…19d9backed OG | 37c | 782$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d3…44f9backed MOUZ | 63c | 780$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e89…e67abacked MOUZ | 63c | 770$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e5…c66cbacked OG | 37c | 768$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked MOUZ | 67c | 746.63$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.63 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9966…f991backed OG | 10c | 684.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked MOUZ | 63c | 665.54$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.33 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed MOUZ | 65c | 642.94$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.03 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…e255backed OG | 35c | 622.86$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d0…1784backed MOUZ | 63c | 619$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa428…1a4cbacked OG | 37c | 619$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed MOUZ | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed OG | 35c | 570.19$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.02 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed OG | 36c | 560$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked OG | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…5db8backed OG | 35c | 520$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a43…61d9backed OG | 36c | 518$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed MOUZ | 65c | 514.6$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.11 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…9b1fbacked MOUZ | 63c | 501.31$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed OG | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed OG | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed OG | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed OG | 35c | 499.97$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a66…f4c4backed OG | 37c | 490$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed MOUZ | 62c | 489.16$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.88 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed OG | 38c | 447.37$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked OG | 46c | 436.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed OG | 46c | 436.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…84c9backed OG | 35c | 428.43$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.79 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked OG | 35c | 426.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…b2e0backed MOUZ | 65c | 418.78$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.57 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked OG | 35c | 400$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…7fa0backed OG | 12c | 389.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed OG | 27c | 370.03$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.86 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked OG | 35c | 360.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.35 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed MOUZ | 64c | 324.41$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.27 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked OG | 29c | 318.38$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.07 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed MOUZ | 67c | 313.43$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.43 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa085…8fc2backed MOUZ | 65c | 310$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed OG | 33c | 301.73$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5f…7fbfbacked MOUZ | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63b5…1e6fbacked MOUZ | 64c | 282$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4c…e430backed OG | 11c | 270.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed OG | 38c | 264.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed OG | 35c | 260$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed OG | 36c | 257.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.43 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…2db4backed OG | 38c | 249.06$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed MOUZ | 66c | 242.42$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.42 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked MOUZ | 64c | 237$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.11 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed OG | 37c | 236.19$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.31 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a0…fdbbbacked MOUZ | 64c | 236$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…3d14backed OG | 34c | 235.2$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked MOUZ | 65c | 231.91$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.17 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed OG | 35c | 224$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa86…7414backed MOUZ | 65c | 210$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2021…900cbacked MOUZ | 63c | 207$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked MOUZ | 70c | 201.77$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…5ff1backed MOUZ | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fac…bdd8backed OG | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.