TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x091e…3432

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
245
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst Serie A at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST11452.6%60 W · 54 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 114 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$156.09
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.25
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+170.3%+$197.62
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$36.89
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+44.9%+$78.65
Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$105.04
Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$105.05
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+57.6%+$165.19
Dota 2: OG vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+81.8%+$175.72
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+49.6%+$71.89
Dota 2: Execration vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+257.1%+$248.68
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Execration (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+55.7%+$168.41
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Execration (BO1)backed Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+168.3%+$189.74
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tearlaments (BO1)backed Tearlaments · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO1)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$97.2
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)backed Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+234.3%+$163.33
Dota 2: OG vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$190.03
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+26.9%+$17.91
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+63.1%+$56.09
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+48.4%+$55.9
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs OG (BO1)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+118%+$63.08
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)backed Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$123.26
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+318.3%+$121.81
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$103.11
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Tearlaments (BO1)backed Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+54.6%+$54.58
Showing 25 of 114 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST2850%14 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$175.27
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$162.98
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+47.1%+$113.37
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$124.9
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+35.1%+$49.32
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$95.2
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+56.3%+$112.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+56.3%+$118.3
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+70.1%+$145.5
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$133.82
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$105.05
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO1)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$140.19
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO1)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+42.9%+$42.48
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winnerbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$65.63
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs B8 (BO1)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$177.32
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$52.48
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+54.4%+$204.12
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+58.7%+$58.51
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$99.27
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$106.16
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Heroic (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+66.7%+$138.23
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+55.8%+$7.72
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+96.3%+$104.45
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.14
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$95
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$87.53
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$14.25
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+143.9%+$252.82
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Sheltonbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$94.9
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$104.86
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+108.3%+$123.77
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$200.56
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$101.39
Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+132.6%+$265.12
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+47.1%+$243.91
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Iga Swiatek vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$134.73
Hellenic Championship: Alexandre Muller vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Hellenic Championship: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Luciano Darderibacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+26.7%+$106.68
Hellenic Championship: Mackenzie McDonald vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+81.8%+$78.63
Hellenic Championship: Alexandre Muller vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+92.5%+$185.83
Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.93
Rolex Paris Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+733.3%+$137.5
Guangzhou Open: Lulu Sun vs Ann Libacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.57
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST1450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+25.2%+$25.17
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$123.91
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$117.36
Bulls vs. Jazzbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$49.49
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$74.99
Hawks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$153.39
Rockets vs. Bucksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+163.2%+$53.56
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+42.9%+$42
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+122.2%+$120.19
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$119.31
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$136
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+75.5%+$162.75
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.59
Bulls vs. Magic: 1H Moneylinebacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$50.7
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST1275%9 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wolves vs. Manchester United: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$66.35
Will Fulham win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$92.57
Tottenham vs. Fulham: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+185.7%+$167.14
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+37%+$87.95
Will the Netherlands win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2024, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Will Belgium win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2024, EDT+44.9%+$39.37
Will Portugal win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2024, EDT+63.9%+$68.01
Will Czechia win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2024, EDT+108.3%+$55.82
Will Netherlands win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2024, EDT+38.9%+$42.43
Will Poland win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2024, EDT+28.7%+$24.6
Will Ukraine win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2024, EDT+95%+$32.18
Real Madrid vs. Dortmund: Champions League Finalbacked Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$400
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$80
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+75.4%+$131.53
UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Morales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+143.9%+$23.98
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
UFC 322: Vieira vs. Nickal (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Nickal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+42.9%+$53.03
UFC 322: Kopylov vs. Rodrigues (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+56.3%+$44.99
UFC 322: Cortez vs. Blanchfield (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Cortez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$28.82
Dern vs. Jandirobabacked Dern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
UFC Fight Night: Who will win - Robert Whittaker vs. Ikram Aliskerov?backed Aliskerov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$42
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO1)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$30
LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs (BO1)backed DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$105.11
LoL: Cloud9 vs BNK FEARX (BO1)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$140.96
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$196.53
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+127.3%+$111.17
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$132.24
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$120
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$261.83
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+53.8%+$325.77
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$806.08
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.4wins-0.42per pick54cpaid-78.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+38.9%+$29.98
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+40.8%+$26.22
Buccaneers vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+96.1%+$16.79
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+29.9%+$15.06
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.14
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$214.19
All 6 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+39.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+161.6%+$141.47
Anadolu Efes vs. FC Bayern Munchenbacked FC Bayern Munchen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Monacobacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+66.7%+$199.99
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbannebacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+29%+$82.94
All 4 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+46.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LSU vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+122.2%+$108.19
Houston vs. UCFbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+117.4%+$54
Alabama vs. South Carolinabacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.82
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$101.39
Jets vs. Sharksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$105.36
Stanley Cup: Game 7backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$72.61
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+90.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+117.4%+$124.38
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+63.1%+$109.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Syracuse Orangebacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+33.3%+$116.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$53.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$106.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.