NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e1cb648bf2370d6d8f18606d344466f5d349558ebc4bf5c0d885dddc926f5c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Clippers, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,930,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,058,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,930,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 818 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Warriors | 53c | 264,347$140,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124,336.94 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Clippers | 54c | 230,837$124,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124,136 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8628…6f0bbacked Clippers | 55c | 209,150$115,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115,032.76 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5afb…4511backed Warriors | 46c | 169,674$78,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,424.04 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…1556backed Warriors | 76c | 125,811$95,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,265.96 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Clippers | 9c | 95,304$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,499.99 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Warriors | 46c | 65,140$29,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,500.56 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…9f41backed Warriors | 48c | 64,900$31,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,747.99 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Warriors | 46c | 50,369$23,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,053.25 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Clippers | 43c | 47,443$20,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,608.82 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Clippers | 54c | 45,000$24,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,299.94 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Warriors | 45c | 36,828$16,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,255.4 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Clippers | 52c | 36,662$19,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,013.9 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Clippers | 52c | 32,356$16,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,796.71 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Clippers | 40c | 31,375$12,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,535.92 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Clippers | 51c | 30,031$15,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,415.15 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Warriors | 46c | 30,000$13,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,200 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Warriors | 47c | 29,865$14,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,828.19 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f2…ace5backed Clippers | 52c | 28,800$14,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,976 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Warriors | 46c | 28,164$13,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,085.29 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Warriors | 46c | 26,330$12,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,294.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Warriors | 47c | 26,027$12,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,707.79 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Warriors | 46c | 24,281$11,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,147.69 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…6ebfbacked Warriors | 74c | 23,504$17,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,110.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b6…630cbacked Clippers | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Clippers | 55c | 19,937$10,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,876.94 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f8…b76fbacked Warriors | 47c | 19,380$9,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,285.03 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Clippers | 53c | 18,868$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd79…fe86backed Clippers | 50c | 15,400$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,700 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 28cpaid | +1,010.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99a0…96d2backed Warriors | 50c | 15,400$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,700 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…3bc3backed Warriors | 74c | 15,069$11,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,918.06 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Clippers | 52c | 14,167$7,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,312.35 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Clippers | 52c | 14,100$7,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,331.94 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Clippers | 54c | 13,383$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…770cbacked Warriors | 71c | 12,999$9,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,802.84 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Clippers | 51c | 12,681$6,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,467.25 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Clippers | 53c | 12,543$6,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,681.41 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Warriors | 45c | 11,878$5,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,532.84 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Warriors | 45c | 11,556$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,355.8 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clippers | 39c | 11,087$4,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,309.89 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Clippers | 55c | 11,041$6,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,040.51 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Clippers | 46c | 10,613$4,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,934.93 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Clippers | 52c | 10,038$5,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,219.65 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…f53ebacked Clippers | 51c | 10,005$5,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,102.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef7…2e2bbacked Warriors | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Warriors | 48c | 9,550$4,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,925.21 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Clippers | 41c | 9,493$3,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,847.28 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Clippers | 54c | 9,437$5,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,095.98 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf924…85bebacked Warriors | 45c | 9,150$4,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,032.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3d…68f7backed Warriors | 45c | 9,100$4,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,005 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Clippers | 52c | 8,500$4,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,419.75 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd07…db48backed Clippers | 56c | 8,100$4,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,536 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Warriors | 49c | 8,000$3,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,069.99 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…8f58backed Warriors | 45c | 7,797$3,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,288.35 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa447…cc98backed Warriors | 48c | 7,652$3,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,979.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ca…300ebacked Clippers | 56c | 7,500$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed Clippers | 54c | 7,000$3,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,787.28 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Clippers | 55c | 6,842$3,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,756.19 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Warriors | 46c | 6,684$3,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,586.82 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Clippers | 25c | 6,449$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.52 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Clippers | 54c | 6,327$3,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,412.48 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Clippers | 19c | 6,105$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.04 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Clippers | 9c | 6,054$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.4 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Clippers | 56c | 5,936$3,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,324.36 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 49c | 5,595$2,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,853.4 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Warriors | 45c | 5,576$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,076.26 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Clippers | 54c | 5,431$2,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,933 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Warriors | 47c | 5,426$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,875.53 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Clippers | 57c | 5,223$2,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,977.36 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Warriors | 44c | 5,206$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,915.1 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Clippers | 54c | 5,029$2,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730.96 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Clippers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Clippers | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Clippers | 40c | 4,963$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.22 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf390…79efbacked Clippers | 50c | 4,920$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc35a…e5d8backed Clippers | 53c | 4,836$2,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.03 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Clippers | 32c | 4,644$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.01 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Clippers | 35c | 4,400$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.99 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a3…8a3dbacked Warriors | 47c | 4,284$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,283.53 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Warriors | 59c | 4,260$2,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.18 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e3…cda8backed Warriors | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Warriors | 68c | 4,118$2,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.17 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a7…4efabacked Warriors | 45c | 4,054$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,229.61 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 52c | 3,947$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.63 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Warriors | 46c | 3,500$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Clippers | 2c | 3,195$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Clippers | 54c | 3,161$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.28 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Clippers | 51c | 3,021$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.75 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Warriors | 51c | 3,017$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.52 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…86fdbacked Clippers | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Clippers | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.98 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b7…963abacked Clippers | 37c | 2,911$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…2ba2backed Clippers | 56c | 2,660$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…6371backed Warriors | 48c | 2,604$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.17 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbb…92efbacked Clippers | 54c | 2,562$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.9 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Clippers | 52c | 2,533$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.74 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Warriors | 51c | 2,380$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.77 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Clippers | 51c | 2,373$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.5 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed Clippers | 51c | 2,366$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Warriors | 44c | 2,334$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.02 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Warriorsthis page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-0.5)Clippers won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.