NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf5c760e6bc3a6327e95c62d1a284129128c932dbee559a284a5715d86c2cfda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 47c | 5,135$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,734.41 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Over | 53c | 3,544$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.56 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 2,370$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.06 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed Over | 54c | 1,040$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.6 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Over | 54c | 1,010$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.4 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 45c | 687.82$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.86 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Over | 55c | 650$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.5 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…336dbacked Over | 53c | 450$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Over | 53c | 111.66$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Under | 46c | 101.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Over | 54c | 90$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 284 | 54.6%155 W · 129 L | -17.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Under | 45c | 88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 46c | 73.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f9…9b63backed Over | 54c | 71.04$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6db…fc65backed Over | 54c | 48.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f23…b19ebacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -9.0wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9105…1ae2backed Over | 52c | 38.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc8…b60ebacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…9b6dbacked Over | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9636…317abacked Over | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c132backed Under | 48c | 26.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860a…9581backed Under | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x254f…2fb8backed Over | 53c | 19.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-0.5)Clippers won
- Clippers vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.