TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8dc8…b60e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+66.7%+$17.33
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+88.7%+$9.4
76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.6
Nets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+42.5%+$7.45
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$21.3
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+93.5%+$18.7
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.6
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.54
Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Kings vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+34.2%+$23.97
Hornets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+38.6%+$16.7
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+68.1%+$8.1
Cavaliers vs. Nets: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$7
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+46%+$72.28
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+27.6%+$8.23
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+117.9%+$97.4
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.66
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+39.2%+$21.63
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$16.92
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
LoL: KT Rolster vs Top Esports (BO3)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Gen.G (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$118.46
LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO1)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
LoL: FlyQuest vs T1 (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+25.4%+$41.38
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+32.3%+$27.37
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+61.1%+$11.92
Burnley FC vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
Nottingham Forest vs. Manchester United: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+100%+$30
Aston Villa vs. Manchester City: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Arsenal vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Chelsea vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Newcastle vs. Fulham: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Will Everton win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Manchester City vs. Everton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mallorca vs. Osasuna: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+105.1%+$20.5
Villarreal vs. Rayo Vallecano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$12.6
Spread: Villarreal (-1.5)backed Rayo Vallecano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick75cpaid-47.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Puebla vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+92.6%+$15.64
Atlético San Luis vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+137.1%+$25.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Verona vs. Inter: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+88.7%+$14.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heracles Almelo vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+69.5%+$12.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+53.8%+$7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.