NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Pistons

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2ab654059b4b73650fd3694633dd230f89da9e96b00eec0c0f072080b98b2cc

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Pistonsof Wizards, Pistons
Resolved: Nov 11, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,240,137
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,300,132

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,240,137 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 466 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3987…259ebacked Wizards	18c	778,594$137,473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137,473.45	80	22.5%18 W · 62 L	-10.0wins	-0.12per pick	35cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Pistons	72c	164,846$118,428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46,417.9	192	49.5%95 W · 97 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Wizards	18c	81,603$14,688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,688.45	724	50.7%367 W · 357 L	+13.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed Wizards	16c	56,001$8,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,960.16	127	40.2%51 W · 76 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Pistons	43c	32,657$13,939 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,718.93	474	48.7%231 W · 243 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Pistons	25c	26,745$6,637 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,108.19	471	44.2%208 W · 263 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x968b…e907backed Wizards	15c	25,000$3,875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,875	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Pistons	37c	22,702$8,299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,402.34	260	38.1%99 W · 161 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-24%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Wizards	19c	20,000$3,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,800	513	50.1%257 W · 256 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Wizards	17c	18,000$3,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,060	164	46.3%76 W · 88 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Wizards	43c	13,920$5,936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,936.05	801	46.4%372 W · 429 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Wizards	15c	11,056$1,658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,658.46	58	15.5%9 W · 49 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca9…6a4dbacked Wizards	16c	10,922$1,748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,747.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb406…4964backed Wizards	73c	10,073$7,368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,367.7	47	57.4%27 W · 20 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pistons	1c	10,000$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,900	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1467…51e3backed Pistons	76c	10,000$7,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,400	109	41.3%45 W · 64 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Pistons	51c	9,852$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,851.9	484	48.8%236 W · 248 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc30b…1b6dbacked Wizards	15c	9,321$1,398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,398.11	68	54.4%37 W · 31 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Wizards	15c	8,820$1,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,320.1	463	42.5%197 W · 266 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Pistons	22c	8,349$1,798 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,551.17	270	41.5%112 W · 158 L	+10.7wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Wizards	17c	8,219$1,394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,393.71	488	45.3%221 W · 267 L	+18.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Wizards	58c	7,984$4,630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,630.45	430	51.4%221 W · 209 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x793c…4421backed Pistons	32c	7,852$2,523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,329.94	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons	24c	7,606$1,818 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,787.33	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Wizards	16c	7,500$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	231	35.1%81 W · 150 L	-11.1wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Wizards	27c	7,199$1,944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,943.72	123	34.1%42 W · 81 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Wizards	14c	6,130$870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$869.81	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Wizards	17c	6,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Pistons	37c	5,957$2,219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,738.13	1,409	40.2%567 W · 842 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe363…6786backed Pistons	37c	5,886$2,191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,695.44	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	61cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf97a…30b7backed Wizards	1c	5,042$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.42	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pistons	34c	5,036$1,717 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,318.42	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed Wizards	10c	5,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	129	38.8%50 W · 79 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Wizards	62c	4,990$3,071 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,071.29	736	49.9%367 W · 369 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pistons	41c	4,891$2,022 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,869.08	1,316	50.5%664 W · 652 L	+42.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Pistons	17c	4,709$816 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,892.85	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf02…4fdcbacked Wizards	16c	4,523$713 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$713	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Wizards	14c	4,250$595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$595	93	44.1%41 W · 52 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Wizards	12c	4,162$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.41	349	42.7%149 W · 200 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x072a…3e85backed Wizards	14c	4,143$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$579.97	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6dae…b6a5backed Wizards	15c	4,100$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$615	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Wizards	66c	4,037$2,651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,650.57	340	62.1%211 W · 129 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc550…353fbacked Wizards	14c	4,000$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	66	36.4%24 W · 42 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161e…6ef0backed Wizards	77c	3,762$2,902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,901.83	56	64.3%36 W · 20 L	+4.2wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7a4…0ea6backed Wizards	31c	3,493$1,097 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,096.86	72	41.7%30 W · 42 L	-6.8wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Wizards	16c	3,430$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548.78	56	16.1%9 W · 47 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Wizards	11c	3,200$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352	469	28.4%133 W · 336 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc8c1…06cebacked Wizards	15c	3,100$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards	16c	3,050$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3462…0d14backed Wizards	15c	3,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.23per pick	61cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f84…8d1dbacked Wizards	14c	3,000$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Wizards	18c	2,950$524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$523.9	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Wizards	14c	2,901$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.13	553	46.8%259 W · 294 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pistons	42c	2,899$1,227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,672.59	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Wizards	37c	2,879$1,054 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,053.64	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Pistons	2c	2,852$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,795.29	298	10.4%31 W · 267 L	+22.5wins	+0.08per pick	3cpaid	+230.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a0c…497fbacked Wizards	74c	2,832$2,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,093.02	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-2.2wins	-0.44per pick	64cpaid	-74%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc8a4…9e63backed Pistons	71c	2,800$1,988 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$812	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-3.6wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa763…709ebacked Pistons	45c	2,748$1,233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,514.59	198	45.5%90 W · 108 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pistons	41c	2,671$1,091 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,579.36	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64aa…19d8backed Wizards	24c	2,514$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Wizards	15c	2,500$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.75	1,164	49.6%577 W · 587 L	+7.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcce…099fbacked Wizards	14c	2,500$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Pistons	50c	2,397$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,197.44	667	44.5%297 W · 370 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa83b…0e4abacked Wizards	80c	2,301$1,833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,833.05	70	50%35 W · 35 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Wizards	2c	2,296$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.94	180	47.8%86 W · 94 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Wizards	14c	2,184$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.99	1,028	48.5%499 W · 529 L	+27.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Wizards	43c	2,167$934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$934.18	381	51.2%195 W · 186 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f6…48f3backed Wizards	15c	2,140$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321	62	56.5%35 W · 27 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Pistons	35c	2,057$727 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,329.94	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb129…e61abacked Pistons	16c	2,029$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,710.93	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+51.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b3…40d4backed Pistons	80c	2,000$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	39	66.7%26 W · 13 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f47…7c9bbacked Wizards	15c	2,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.22per pick	55cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Pistons	53c	1,835$975 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$860	294	58.5%172 W · 122 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Pistons	71c	1,785$1,263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$521.75	200	57%114 W · 86 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x149d…e290backed Wizards	16c	1,742$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.79	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+209.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x152f…08b7backed Pistons	68c	1,706$1,166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$539.48	26	69.2%18 W · 8 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	62cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Wizards	17c	1,627$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.66	208	38%79 W · 129 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Wizards	12c	1,625$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f82…2d74backed Wizards	22c	1,513$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.43	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-77%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd3…fed4backed Wizards	27c	1,467$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	248	61.7%153 W · 95 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Wizards	23c	1,427$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.97	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Wizards	15c	1,400$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	1,198	38.8%465 W · 733 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1bc…bd81backed Pistons	67c	1,387$924 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$463.12	135	58.5%79 W · 56 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Wizards	17c	1,378$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.14	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b1b…7d5ebacked Wizards	22c	1,349$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	-4.2wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-21%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f3…2dd5backed Wizards	16c	1,335$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.6	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Pistons	34c	1,316$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$866.44	597	43.6%260 W · 337 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb29…358ebacked Pistons	48c	1,261$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$660.56	35	68.6%24 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	67cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Wizards	16c	1,250$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	84	38.1%32 W · 52 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Wizards	15c	1,250$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.89	243	30.9%75 W · 168 L	-11.5wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Wizards	15c	1,245$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.75	547	47.5%260 W · 287 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72fe…2a60backed Pistons	35c	1,120$392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$728.6	456	47.8%218 W · 238 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cf0…3156backed Wizards	17c	1,100$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	503	38.4%193 W · 310 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Wizards	15c	1,084$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.3	302	49.3%149 W · 153 L	+33.5wins	+0.11per pick	38cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked Pistons	70c	1,056$742 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.08	160	52.5%84 W · 76 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc35f…f69bbacked Wizards	68c	1,024$694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$694	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.7wins	-0.44per pick	69cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Wizards	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	136	42.6%58 W · 78 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6db3…3772backed Wizards	18c	1,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+2.2wins	+0.36per pick	47cpaid	+65.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Pistons	76c	1,000$760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	481	37.2%179 W · 302 L	-15.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Wizards vs. Pistonsthis page
Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Wizards won
Spread: Pistons (-12.5)Wizards won
Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Wizards won
Wizards vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5Over won
Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 234.5Over won
Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 235.5Over won
Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 236.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Wizards vs. Pistons

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event