TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x72fe…2a60

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
580
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT45647.8%218 W · 238 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 456 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.04
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+116.9%+$172.59
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+171.2%+$145.41
Jazz vs. Hawksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$123.27
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$195
Heat vs. Trail Blazersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Spurs vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$32.95
Bulls vs. Timberwolvesbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+172.7%+$190
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+191.3%+$98.5
Rockets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+170.3%+$106.74
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$242
Timberwolves vs. Jazzbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$93
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$73.86
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+97%+$197
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+72.6%+$42.05
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$177
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+108%+$151.85
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Hornets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$82
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$28.6
Jazz vs. Cavaliersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+189.9%+$131
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Knicks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+69.3%+$77.8
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+115.3%+$85.7
Showing 25 of 456 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10042%42 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 100 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+67.2%+$80.45
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$181
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$27.94
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+75.4%+$86
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Colts vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+52.7%+$69
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$264.49
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$389.52
Saints vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$309
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+77%+$87
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$180
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$136.5
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$898Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+39.4%+$353.2
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$89.2
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+124.3%+$190.85
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+102%+$146.44
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$235.7
Jalen Hurts: 2+ Touchdownsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+59.3%+$85.59
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$104.31
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+168.7%+$200.9
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$106.3
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+104.1%+$77.74
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$52.96
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+128.3%+$376.5
Showing 25 of 100 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs. Mercurybacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$30.74
Fever vs. Acesbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.07
Lynx vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+119.5%+$87.09
Lynx vs. Mercurybacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$207
Aces vs. Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.6
Fever vs. Acesbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.03
Mercury vs. Lynxbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+350.9%+$234.79
Liberty vs. Mercurybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.73
Storm vs. Acesbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.5
Liberty vs Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$62.45
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-58.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+98.4%+$49.6
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida State vs. Virginiabacked Florida State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$182.69
James Madison vs. Louisvillebacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.