WNBA · resolved market
Mercury vs. Lynx
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3ede70e844766550568072423ead083d242ab54cae52772d764d2e8658e7c76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mercuryof Mercury, Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb412…3026backed Lynx | 74c | 12,673$9,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,341.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Lynx | 76c | 9,241$7,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,023.39 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mercury | 26c | 6,125$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,518.77 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Mercury | 37c | 5,797$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,663 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4180…cf9cbacked Mercury | 28c | 4,914$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,555.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Lynx | 73c | 4,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Mercury | 27c | 3,699$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,704.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mercury | 6c | 3,585$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,359.42 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mercury | 16c | 3,544$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,986.25 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Lynx | 75c | 3,333$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Mercury | 26c | 3,084$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,282.51 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Mercury | 28c | 2,840$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.74 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Lynx | 74c | 2,484$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825.96 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Lynx | 73c | 1,945$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.85 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Lynx | 74c | 1,664$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.24 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Lynx | 77c | 1,405$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.02 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mercury | 26c | 1,366$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.87 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…8fe6backed Mercury | 25c | 1,145$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Lynx | 73c | 1,144$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.86 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Mercury | 27c | 1,106$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.64 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lynx | 73c | 1,102$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.73 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Lynx | 73c | 1,090$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.6 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Mercury | 28c | 1,079$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.54 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Mercury | 36c | 1,000$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.54 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Lynx | 75c | 988.67$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -8.3wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lynx | 75c | 957$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.75 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Lynx | 72c | 904.09$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.94 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Lynx | 73c | 806.77$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.9 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Mercury | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Lynx | 72c | 700$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Lynx | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Lynx | 74c | 621.62$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lynx | 74c | 540$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Mercury | 20c | 510$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Mercury | 27c | 500$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Lynx | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7297…814ebacked Lynx | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Lynx | 42c | 456$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.42 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lynx | 74c | 439$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.86 | 394 | 50.5%199 W · 195 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Mercury | 25c | 404.84$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.63 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Mercury | 28c | 400.53$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.8 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Mercury | 25c | 387.48$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.61 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked Mercury | 27c | 366.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mercury | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…d771backed Mercury | 14c | 350$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Mercury | 3c | 325.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.13 | 62 | 4.8%3 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Lynx | 72c | 315$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mercury | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Mercury | 22c | 301.69$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.79 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Lynx | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Mercury | 24c | 300$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Lynx | 73c | 300$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…8ebfbacked Mercury | 41c | 254.32$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.58 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0b…95b7backed Mercury | 6c | 245.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +718.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…15d4backed Mercury | 70c | 213.41$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Lynx | 75c | 200.61$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.46 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Lynx | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Lynx | 73c | 196$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.08 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mercury | 26c | 190.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.21 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb194…1063backed Mercury | 13c | 175$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +660.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x956f…f960backed Lynx | 74c | 162.16$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Lynx | 75c | 161.33$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mercury | 44c | 156.64$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.07 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Mercury | 26c | 150$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x991e…3190backed Mercury | 27c | 140.74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Mercury | 26c | 138.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.46 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Lynx | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Lynx | 73c | 110$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Lynx | 75c | 104.28$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.21 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Lynx | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Mercury | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lynx | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…5a60backed Mercury | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Lynx | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…1fbfbacked Lynx | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd449…f9a2backed Lynx | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Mercury | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…0152backed Mercury | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Lynx | 75c | 93.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…eb08backed Mercury | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Mercury | 27c | 79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.67 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5254…5f7dbacked Lynx | 75c | 73.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Mercury | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Lynx | 46c | 69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Mercury | 66c | 66.47$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Lynx | 34c | 66.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Mercury | 26c | 60.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Mercury | 27c | 51.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Lynx | 70c | 50.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Mercury | 24c | 50.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 24cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd61c…5953backed Lynx | 73c | 43.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Lynx | 75c | 39.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…1832backed Mercury | 27c | 37.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b3…d187backed Lynx | 75c | 34.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad0…16d0backed Lynx | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Lynx | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaf…6017backed Lynx | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…6958backed Lynx | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Lynx | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…a3b6backed Lynx | 75c | 22.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.