TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0cee…1832

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
321
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT19151.8%99 W · 92 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 191 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.8
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.65
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.5
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.88
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.61
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.27
Obi Toppin: Points O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.12
Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$94
Pelicans vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$23.69
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$420
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$555.99
Warriors vs. Cavaliersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+334.8%+$531.3
Pelicans vs. Netsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$136.5
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+117.4%+$216
Spurs vs. Cavaliersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$166.5
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$163.2
Rockets vs. Cavaliersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+81.8%+$12.27
Grizzlies vs. Cavaliersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$91.45
Showing 25 of 191 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT4050%20 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Phoenix Mercury win the 2025 WNBA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Indiana Fever win the 2025 WNBA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.05
Aces vs. Feverbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$135.43
Fever vs. Acesbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Mercury vs. Lynxbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$27.06
Will the Seattle Storm win the 2025 WNBA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Atlanta Dream win the 2025 WNBA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Fever vs. Dreambacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+348.8%+$112.36
Lynx vs. Feverbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Sparks vs. Stormbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$156.56
Will the Washington Mystics win the 2025 WNBA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Liberty vs. Mercurybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Fever vs. Sparksbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.19
Lynx vs Feverbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$28.69
Mystics vs Sunbacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.63
Will the Connecticut Sun win the 2025 WNBA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Storm vs Dreambacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.13
Liberty vs Sparksbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Sun vs Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+30.9%+$19.39
Dream vs Mercurybacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$27.05
Mystics vs Wingsbacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+138.5%+$76.16
Lynx vs Libertybacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by August 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$199.65
Sparks vs Stormbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.07
Liberty vs Lynxbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+150%+$240
Will I Like It be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$175
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Dolphins vs. Ramsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Lions vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2024, EST-100%-$269.12
Jets vs. Cardinalsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$150
Titans vs. Chargersbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,294Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$2,294.06
Bills vs. Coltsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Vikings vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$150
Patriots vs. Bearsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+244.8%+$367.24
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$992Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$991.61
Giants vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,673Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+28.3%+$757.28
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$566Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST+38.9%+$220.05
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-57.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+25%+$81.2
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$350.7
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$208.16
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$117.86
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick14cpaid+145.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.58
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,683Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+65.7%+$1,106.24
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$118.11
Will the government shutdown end November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$29.92
Will the government shutdown end November 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will the government shutdown end November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+1,849.2%+$1,386.91
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+488.2%+$170.98
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,211Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,211.13
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will there be a US Government shutdown? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$20.55
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick21cpaid-46.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22.64
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$431.14
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,192.09
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$303.65
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$188.45
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+488.2%+$124.91
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$77.89
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.1
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$115
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$16.03
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+150.4%+$115.24
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$254.19
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$311.65
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+381.4%+$801.03
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$27.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick35cpaid-77.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$861Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$861.22
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$569.5
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$168
US strikes Iraq by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$83.21
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$81.93
All 10 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid+24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-62.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+191.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Scotland vs. Morocco: Scotland O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$66.23
Will Sudan win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+316.7%+$152
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$344.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" at least once during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$43.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Devilsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$283.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.