WNBA · resolved market
Mystics vs Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6a925528c045875323bb84d5c2c89df71f2f46679dbf2e16251574b21c6ea44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mysticsof Mystics, Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Wings | 61c | 24,447$14,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,840.99 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Mystics | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,200 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Mystics | 50c | 2,782$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.69 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Wings | 46c | 2,211$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.04 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mystics | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Wings | 74c | 1,694$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.7 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wings | 76c | 1,623$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.6 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Mystics | 68c | 1,553$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mystics | 31c | 1,538$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.16 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Wings | 25c | 1,288$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.07 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wings | 59c | 1,263$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.06 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Mystics | 41c | 1,191$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.32 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…1742backed Mystics | 38c | 1,082$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…d2fabacked Mystics | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 39cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Mystics | 34c | 997.37$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.92 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Mystics | 35c | 839.41$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.72 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Wings | 46c | 755$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wings | 61c | 518.76$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.44 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Wings | 65c | 460.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…e827backed Mystics | 59c | 447.51$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Wings | 59c | 438$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.61 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Mystics | 44c | 416$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.44 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mystics | 37c | 409.1$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.32 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Wings | 58c | 408.74$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.53 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Wings | 59c | 400.88$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.52 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…eda5backed Wings | 59c | 372.88$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Mystics | 30c | 360$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Mystics | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Mystics | 14c | 292.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.08 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Mystics | 43c | 292.5$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Wings | 59c | 274.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.8wins | -0.54per pick | 68cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mystics | 39c | 262$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.82 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Mystics | 52c | 250$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.83 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73e…9e1bbacked Mystics | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Mystics | 42c | 245.24$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Wings | 61c | 244.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mystics | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mystics | 44c | 234$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.74 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mystics | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mystics | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Mystics | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mystics | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Wings | 58c | 193.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.51 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Mystics | 31c | 190.74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.61 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Wings | 59c | 158.12$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3c…ac4fbacked Wings | 64c | 154.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Mystics | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…1832backed Mystics | 42c | 131.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.16 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Mystics | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked Mystics | 41c | 115.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…44b0backed Wings | 59c | 109.83$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Wings | 46c | 102.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mystics | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9240…b6d2backed Wings | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…f550backed Wings | 59c | 98.71$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Mystics | 42c | 97.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.66 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x107a…4bc4backed Mystics | 37c | 94.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Mystics | 36c | 81.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7566…c91fbacked Mystics | 42c | 80.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba9e…f61fbacked Mystics | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Wings | 64c | 76.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Mystics | 36c | 73.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Mystics | 43c | 66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Mystics | 41c | 46.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Mystics | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mystics | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Mystics | 42c | 39.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…ac8dbacked Mystics | 44c | 39.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…f8b9backed Wings | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…8ebfbacked Mystics | 44c | 30.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Mystics | 41c | 29.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…7dedbacked Mystics | 43c | 26.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaece…c992backed Wings | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d3…a2b9backed Wings | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…79edbacked Wings | 59c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.