TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x77f2…1742

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Sep 10, 2025, EDT2737%10 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: T1 vs. Dplus KIAbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$229.23
League of Legends: Odivelas Sports Club vs. FlameHardbacked FlameHard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,160
League of Legends: Senshi Esports Club vs. mCon esportsbacked mCon esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$765Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$765
League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. Bilibili Gamingbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$769Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$1,019.37
League of Legends: Alpha7 Esports vs. Vivo Keyd Stars Academybacked Alpha7 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$513.89
League of Legends: Movistar KOI vs. Fnaticbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$2,136.33
League of Legends: FlyQuest vs. 100 Thievesbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$905Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$904.59
League of Legends: G2 Esports vs. Karmine Corpbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$794Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$793.59
League of Legends: Dplus KIA vs. OKSavingsBank BRIONbacked OKSavingsBank · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$343.78
League of Legends: DN Freecs vs. BNK FEARXbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
League of Legends: T1 vs. Hanwha Life Esportsbacked Hanwha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$724Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$724
League of Legends: Team Vitality vs. Movistar KOIbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$818Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$817.59
League of Legends: BNK FearX Youth vs. DRX Challengersbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$425.36
League of Legends: Dplus KIA Challengers vs. Nongshim Esports Academybacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$279.35
League of Legends: Team Heretics vs. SK Gamingbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.69
League of Legends: Ultra Prime vs. ThunderTalk Gamingbacked ThunderTalk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.18
League of Legends: DRX vs. BNK FEARXbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$308.43
League of Legends: JD Gaming vs. Team WEbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$199.4
League of Legends: Nongshim Esports Academy vs. Hanwha Life Esports Challengersbacked Hanwha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.5
League of Legends: Weibo Gaming vs. Team WEbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.27
League of Legends: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. LGD Gamingbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$341.98
League of Legends: Ultra Prime vs. Ninjas in Pyjamasbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$500.42
League of Legends: 100 Thieves vs. Shopify Rebellionbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$1,047.67
League of Legends: Movistar KOI vs. GIANTXbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,369Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$1,114.96
League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. JD Gamingbacked Invictus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,708Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$664.07
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 10, 2025, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Twins vs. Angelsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$348.65
Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$729Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$728.75
Royals vs. Guardiansbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$864Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$863.84
White Sox vs. Tigersbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+196.1%+$665.52
Red Sox vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$229.1
Rays vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$573Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+424.1%+$2,431.05
Giants vs. Padresbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$573Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$572.69
Mets vs. Nationalsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.87
Dodgers vs. Angelsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$287.87
Phillies vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.89
Cubs vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$634Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$714.47
Phillies vs. Rangersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+170.4%+$368.83
Marlins vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+109%+$125.46
Angels vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500
Mets vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$739.82
Reds vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$628.55
Astros vs. Marlinsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,043Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,043.15
Rays vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,166Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,166.26
Giants vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,823Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,822.78
Athletics vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$508.08
Twins vs. Tigersbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$396.8
All 21 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 10, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 25, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid+22.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sun vs. Libertybacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$253.05
Mercury vs Acesbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.89
Sky vs Libertybacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+490.8%+$561.04
Lynx vs Dreambacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$199.18
Sun vs Acesbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$442
Dream vs Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,071Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,071.43
Mystics vs Wingsbacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+164.1%+$672.54
All 7 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 27, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+66.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buccaneers vs. Falconsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+158.5%+$484.06
Texans vs. Vikings backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 27, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AEK Larnaka win on 2025-08-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$500.38
Will PAOK win on 2025-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$799Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$799.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Crvena Zvezda win on 2025-08-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$588Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$587.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.