MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52da3702ba8a8c0718544d2d4d2d9dbb68d21af0614c0a748b9f1d45bd4d0c24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Rays, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,392,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,405,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,392,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 405 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Guardians | 43c | 992,860$426,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566,348.22 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rays | 57c | 650,906$371,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371,345.15 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Rays | 57c | 94,011$53,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,586.16 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Rays | 58c | 38,000$22,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,040 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Rays | 61c | 35,578$21,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,687.34 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Rays | 57c | 34,950$19,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,921.5 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Rays | 57c | 28,127$16,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,096.39 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rays | 58c | 25,960$15,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,119.13 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Guardians | 43c | 25,555$10,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,566.35 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Guardians | 42c | 24,024$10,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,935.88 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Rays | 54c | 22,671$12,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,227.74 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Rays | 58c | 20,761$11,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,979.05 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Rays | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,400 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Guardians | 43c | 20,000$8,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,350 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Guardians | 45c | 19,857$8,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,921.35 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rays | 58c | 15,438$8,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,926.55 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Guardians | 42c | 13,589$5,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,881.75 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Guardians | 52c | 12,409$6,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,911.88 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Rays | 57c | 12,222$6,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,966.54 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Guardians | 42c | 10,714$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,214.29 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c4…6f2fbacked Guardians | 37c | 9,961$3,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,241.97 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Rays | 63c | 8,258$5,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,239.98 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Rays | 49c | 7,278$3,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,541.19 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Rays | 69c | 7,095$4,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,881.13 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…cb45backed Rays | 62c | 6,209$3,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,822.29 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 23c | 5,662$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,371.07 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rays | 57c | 5,500$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,135 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays | 59c | 4,736$2,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,775.82 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Rays | 77c | 4,160$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200.06 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Guardians | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…1742backed Guardians | 19c | 3,004$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,431.05 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rays | 73c | 2,813$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.95 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Guardians | 48c | 2,431$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.81 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Rays | 55c | 2,419$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.68 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Rays | 55c | 2,222$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.08 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2b…9c41backed Rays | 56c | 1,961$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rays | 57c | 1,860$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.2 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Rays | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Rays | 66c | 1,569$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.94 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Guardians | 42c | 1,414$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.26 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Guardians | 41c | 1,390$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.1 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rays | 58c | 1,358$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.64 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…776cbacked Rays | 58c | 1,319$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Guardians | 44c | 1,250$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7700…a997backed Guardians | 44c | 1,239$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Guardians | 47c | 1,167$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.42 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…a3d2backed Guardians | 44c | 1,111$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.16 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Guardians | 27c | 1,098$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Guardians | 44c | 1,059$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.83 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Rays | 59c | 1,032$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.75 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Rays | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…5590backed Rays | 73c | 901.23$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.26 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Guardians | 46c | 900$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Guardians | 24c | 841.41$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.64 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rays | 53c | 831.74$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.82 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Guardians | 44c | 797$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.32 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Guardians | 41c | 749.99$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.49 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19f…9084backed Guardians | 44c | 722$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Rays | 75c | 669.2$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.9 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Guardians | 44c | 553$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.68 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Guardians | 67c | 549.71$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.66 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Guardians | 43c | 538.27$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.82 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 56c | 535$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.6 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Rays | 57c | 526$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.82 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Rays | 58c | 517.07$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.9 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Guardians | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…bb05backed Rays | 35c | 445$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f70…63b2backed Guardians | 33c | 435$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Rays | 56c | 423.21$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed Guardians | 25c | 423.04$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.07 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…1330backed Rays | 58c | 393.16$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Rays | 78c | 350$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.84 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Rays | 52c | 334.29$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.6 | 193 | 56.5%109 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Guardians | 28c | 322.15$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.06 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Guardians | 43c | 320$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.84 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Guardians | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Guardians | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Guardians | 44c | 299.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Guardians | 41c | 292.24$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.42 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Guardians | 32c | 251.72$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.17 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Guardians | 25c | 250$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Guardians | 39c | 249$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.47 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Rays | 57c | 245.61$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Rays | 56c | 243.25$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.48 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Rays | 56c | 240.71$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.8 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Guardians | 42c | 215$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.7 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Guardians | 43c | 213.95$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.95 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…2759backed Guardians | 20c | 200$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Rays | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…211fbacked Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Guardians | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…b9eabacked Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3236…8f9ebacked Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…966cbacked Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…a273backed Guardians | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…72debacked Guardians | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…729cbacked Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…8340backed Rays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…3b86backed Guardians | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb290…27c5backed Guardians | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rays vs. Guardiansthis page
- Rays vs. Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.