TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x55d8…b384

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
632
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT57744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 577 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+112.2%+$21.15
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$542Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$322.9
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$220.72
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$692Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$397.07
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+46%+$160.25
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$628Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$445.29
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Metsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$161.85
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$785Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+79.6%+$624.48
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,450.35
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.01
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.99
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.87
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.68
Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$176
Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$27.69
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+88%+$466.46
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$32.76
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$43.01
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$236.09
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.36
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.06
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$167.23
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.74
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+163.4%+$509.27
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.75
Showing 25 of 577 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$325
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+121.4%+$362.31
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.38
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$172.28
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$352.17
Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$255.55
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.66
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+53.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+308.4%+$1,188.68
Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.2
Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$375
Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 5-8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,701Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,700.93
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,173Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+871.1%+$10,219.43
Will Lee Jun-seok win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$305
Will Lee Jae-myung win Seoul (서울) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.37
Will Lee Jun-seok win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$586Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$585.89
Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.01
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.21
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$172.4
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,050
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brighton vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$148
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Wolves vs. Leeds United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$159.94
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-41.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+207.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+88.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$249,559Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$249,559.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.