MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bdd952bc6d74dbcc1bd9475c111676d4fbbd935cf2122d3343a3efadfcc6bdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof St. Louis Cardinals, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $944,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,107,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $944,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 427,040$141,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141,481.12 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 159,840$107,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,747.09 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 150,000$100,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,500 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 86,310$57,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,482.33 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 81,012$54,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,944.08 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 50,000$16,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,499.99 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 45,723$15,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,088.66 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 39,769$26,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,511.49 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 77c | 15,128$11,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,534.87 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 14,706$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 14,493$9,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,508.1 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 14,286$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 11,764$8,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,725.31 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 7c | 11,178$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.39 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed St. Louis Cardinals | 19c | 10,917$2,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.89 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 10,180$6,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,508.28 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…f183backed St. Louis Cardinals | 5c | 9,435$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed St. Louis Cardinals | 1c | 9,342$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 0c | 7,600$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 7,289$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478.26 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 6,258$4,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.14 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 5,999$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.77 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 5,328$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 5,318$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.12 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 5,221$3,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.59 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 4,500$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.88 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 3,355$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.78 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 2,985$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.07 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 15c | 2,715$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.84 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 2,400$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 2,350$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 7c | 2,149$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.56 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 8c | 2,000$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.29 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed St. Louis Cardinals | 7c | 1,851$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.68 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed St. Louis Cardinals | 11c | 1,828$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.2 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf518…07bcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 1,557$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.35 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -7.4wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.1 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 1,505$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.75 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 1,437$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.58 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 1,317$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.34 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 1,300$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.15 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed St. Louis Cardinals | 8c | 1,285$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 1,250$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 1,248$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.96 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…dea8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 8c | 1,205$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.42 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 1,200$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.99 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed St. Louis Cardinals | 10c | 1,180$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.06 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd014…c792backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 1,176$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c2…58e9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 1,029$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ced…b082backed Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32a3…a349backed St. Louis Cardinals | 8c | 999.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 896.53$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.02 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 11c | 881.27$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 807.69$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.69 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 800$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 5c | 783.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 715.77$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.36 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 17c | 699.96$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 650$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…0b92backed Milwaukee Brewers | 80c | 620$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 615.15$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 600$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb885…e677backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 572.76$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.74 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed St. Louis Cardinals | 26c | 568.89$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.24 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 568.15$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.46 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 529.72$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 5c | 523.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 500$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.3 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2026…f5a3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 486$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 485.57$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 444$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x598a…1bdfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 417.59$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.19 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7a…56a9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 413.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 410.19$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.57 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd50…0c7fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 406$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 404.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.7 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f7…a6c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 398.48$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.48 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…fbcebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 386$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1381…b769backed St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 383.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa385…2adfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 378$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…39e5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 373.06$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.84 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewersthis page
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 4.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee BrewersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.