TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0167…d002

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
469
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: WNBA, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 63 out of 100; worst Premier League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT38145.4%173 W · 208 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 381 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.3
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.8
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.63
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$54.84
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.2
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.16
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$432
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$560
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Metsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$491.99
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.51
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.55
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Seattle Mariners vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.99
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$246
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.98
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$835Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$835.04
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$255
Showing 25 of 381 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT5032%16 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.4
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$246
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$172
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$275
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$194.4
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.6
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.7
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$201
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+167.9%+$188
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$61
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$97.6
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$333.66
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.98
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT3053.3%16 W · 14 L+6.4wins+0.21per pick32cpaid+68.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
WNBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$18.9
Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFirebacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.91
Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$413.6
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+142.9%+$706
Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Skybacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$630
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Libertybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$374
Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
PortlandFire vs. New York Libertybacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$405
Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$244
Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Dallas Wings vs. New York Libertybacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$287
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$230.99
Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempobacked Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$197.99
Dallas Wings vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+133.2%+$199.9
Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Libertybacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+252.1%+$252.83
Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.99
Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Stormbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$336
Dallas Wings vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Portland Fire vs. Indiana Feverbacked Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.62
Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+300%+$225
Connecticut Sun vs. Portland Firebacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.5
Washington Mystics vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Toronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+276.9%+$235.1
Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Feverbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+245%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$565Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+114.2%+$645.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$364.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.