MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b9cefbccd9a06cf63f92b6ef119a2d29dd79f4b7c0dc1bc8c09d387a0fc86cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Miami Marlins, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $823,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $854,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $823,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 427 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 217,166$90,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,538.24 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 80,000$46,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,600 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 75,092$35,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,918.83 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 35c | 37,210$13,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,169.52 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 35,999$20,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,119.75 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 32,234$19,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,178.79 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b7…4108backed Toronto Blue Jays | 69c | 25,642$17,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,992.67 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 21,465$12,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,800.76 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 16,056$8,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,125.17 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 14,652$8,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,051.64 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 39c | 14,052$5,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,473.03 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 13,319$8,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,304.15 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 12,937$5,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,303.99 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 12,288$7,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,038.14 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 9,514$3,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,882.88 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 9,000$3,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,689.97 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Miami Marlins | 35c | 8,707$3,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,084.94 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 8,600$4,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,612 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 8,365$3,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,496.72 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76cf…9452backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 7,587$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,186.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 7,022$4,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.03 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 6,546$3,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,807.61 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 6,536$3,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,987.69 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 5,953$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.26 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 5,772$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.41 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 5,528$2,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,588.91 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 5,527$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.68 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Miami Marlins | 23c | 5,500$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 5,489$3,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.27 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 5,195$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,019.85 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 5,122$2,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,765.74 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…6c5abacked Miami Marlins | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2a…315ebacked Miami Marlins | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 4,523$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,618.5 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.44 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 4,074$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.89 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.98 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 3,891$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.33 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 3,448$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.89 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 3,432$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.54 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 3,204$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.62 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.99 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 2,765$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.28 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…b0febacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 2,637$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.62 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.37 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 2,057$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.1 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 2,007$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.05 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 1,989$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.94 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 1,879$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.89 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,786$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.03 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 1,700$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,600$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.05 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 1,536$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.04 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,446$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.07 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 1,429$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 1,207$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.9 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 1,150$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 1,137$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.06 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf518…07bcbacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 1,121$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.79 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -7.4wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Miami Marlins | 29c | 1,118$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.04 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 1,086$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.44 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 1,052$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.94 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 1,020$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.4 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…f324backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,017$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.48 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d64…26cebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7548…1c40backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 984.87$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.83 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…5001backed Toronto Blue Jays | 71c | 975.62$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 964.99$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.65 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Miami Marlins | 21c | 953.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 915.84$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.7 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 871.63$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.63 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Miami Marlins | 26c | 823.06$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.17 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 818.98$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.78 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 800$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.97 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 772.96$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.17 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 732.78$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.77 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 719.93$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.76 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 682.62$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.62 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 665.05$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.48 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 655.47$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.85 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 634.35$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.93 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2521…53e8backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 620$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb044…d327backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 618$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88e9…7f4fbacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 615$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 70c | 601.05$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.87 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef2…b4ecbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 580$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 574$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.08 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-4.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.