MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc25df5ec10eff186518d226957eef5885e0cbe9788c628cf07fa847ec0106fe7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $250,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $255,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Over | 50c | 200,000$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,000 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 50c | 55,963$27,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,981.59 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 51,006$25,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,539.86 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 50c | 11,463$5,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,788.26 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 9,155$4,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,613.14 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Over | 51c | 8,200$4,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,182 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 50c | 7,827$3,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,913.7 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 49c | 4,387$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.12 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 50c | 3,231$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.04 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 48c | 2,657$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.33 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 48c | 2,652$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.33 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Under | 50c | 2,270$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.96 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 50c | 1,911$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.52 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 1,881$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.09 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 19c | 1,749$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.39 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Over | 59c | 1,692$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 43c | 1,510$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.81 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 50c | 1,458$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 50c | 1,050$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under | 54c | 994.93$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.46 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 50c | 933.6$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.8 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 49c | 876.91$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 50c | 800$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.64 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 34c | 742.45$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.08 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 50c | 700.9$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.46 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 50c | 643.32$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.66 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 48c | 637.66$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.84 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 49c | 631.03$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.54 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 55c | 604.89$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.74 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7587…c65abacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 18c | 517$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 400$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.89 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 50c | 394$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 49c | 379.98$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.51 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 50c | 371.89$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.69 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 59c | 321.65$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.78 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 57c | 307.44$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.24 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 27c | 301.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.01 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 50c | 298.54$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.72 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 51c | 294$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 48c | 293.83$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.79 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 284.08$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.47 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 261.18$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.69 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…1d74backed Over | 51c | 254.45$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.77 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Under | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Under | 50c | 230$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 33c | 212.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde01…a938backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c0…b32fbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Under | 50c | 183.33$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c9…cf56backed Under | 76c | 169.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 70c | 159.53$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x508e…5c09backed Over | 52c | 157.16$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 50c | 154.44$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.22 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 50c | 137$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 50c | 134.46$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.23 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 49c | 125$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.16 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 49c | 122.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Under | 50c | 119.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 79c | 114.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Over | 23c | 107.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 418 | 36.4%152 W · 266 L | -31.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd5…0acbbacked Over | 21c | 106.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 51c | 102$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9783…dccabacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Over | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 447 | 37.4%167 W · 280 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…eadebacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 54c | 98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Over | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +14.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 34c | 86.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Under | 50c | 84.38$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Over | 50c | 83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Over | 52c | 79.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 46c | 77.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Over | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Over | 50c | 67.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 238 | 54.2%129 W · 109 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Over | 50c | 67.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 198 | 55.1%109 W · 89 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…f06bbacked Over | 52c | 65.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -8.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…7fefbacked Over | 37c | 62.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 72c | 62.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 50c | 59.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…35c6backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…d4fbbacked Over | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 26c | 51.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5this page
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue JaysToronto Blue Jays won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-4.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.