MLB · resolved market
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5471bc2a4dc61ada88d1db5bb77ce887612696b94672226f906ee59ca953994d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Toronto Blue Jays, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 65c | 26,393$17,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,164.74 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 24,015$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 10,194$3,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,679.44 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e3…e736backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 4,587$2,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.06 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 27c | 4,403$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.99 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 4,369$2,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.29 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Miami Marlins | 73c | 3,167$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 2,746$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.42 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 2,121$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.53 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Toronto Blue Jays | 28c | 1,919$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.64 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 15c | 1,444$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.93 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Miami Marlins | 75c | 1,393$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.95 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 1,387$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.46 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Miami Marlins | 75c | 1,370$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.34 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 1,337$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.79 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 1,245$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.92 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 1,221$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 1,195$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.05 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 1,150$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 1,010$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.1 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a8…0753backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 1,002$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9702…9453backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b8…4a42backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…f403backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Miami Marlins | 61c | 991.59$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.72 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Miami Marlins | 61c | 991.59$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.72 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 940$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.4 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 832.5$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 832.5$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 678.38$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.03 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 25c | 647.76$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.71 | 999 | 24.6%246 W · 753 L | -70.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Miami Marlins | 72c | 623.4$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.55 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 593$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.39 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Miami Marlins | 80c | 578.93$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 1,040 | 51.8%539 W · 501 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 575.24$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.6 | 323 | 51.7%167 W · 156 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 549.58$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.82 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Miami Marlins | 78c | 515.25$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.25 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 468.23$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.29 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 458.41$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.12 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 436.51$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.97 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83f6…c26abacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 435$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…7fefbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 25c | 396.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 372.95$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.45 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 273.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.33 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 28c | 255.45$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.87 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 251.79$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 249.28$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.95 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 244$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.86 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 28c | 239.05$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.02 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 231$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Toronto Blue Jays | 18c | 202.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 200.1$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.3 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 177.97$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.53 | 493 | 58.8%290 W · 203 L | +30.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 155.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Miami Marlins | 64c | 141.72$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Miami Marlins | 73c | 135.89$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Miami Marlins | 72c | 105$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Miami Marlins | 73c | 102.1$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Toronto Blue Jays | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 447 | 37.4%167 W · 280 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 92.45$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Miami Marlins | 61c | 91.41$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Miami Marlins | 79c | 89.12$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Miami Marlins | 77c | 81.56$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…e71dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 68.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Miami Marlins | 79c | 65.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 21c | 59.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 51.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 48.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Miami Marlins | 75c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ded…3350backed Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 46.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578e…eae1backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 46.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 802 | 55%441 W · 361 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 41.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…2fa8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 222 | 54.1%120 W · 102 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…ae83backed Miami Marlins | 76c | 39.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Miami Marlins | 73c | 32.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 32.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Miami Marlins | 61c | 29.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Miami Marlins | 66c | 27.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Miami Marlins | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Miami Marlins | 61c | 22.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Miami Marlins | 73c | 20.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 18.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7249…03d5backed Miami Marlins | 79c | 14.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)this page
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue JaysToronto Blue Jays won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-4.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.