TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x47e3…e736

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Serie A, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT4742.6%20 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,050Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,950
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$118.54
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.12
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.46
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$232.32
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.85
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,915Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,915
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$83.54
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,950Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$2,050
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,799.99
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.94
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.85
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,770Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,230
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,883Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,882.96
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,835Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,835
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,860
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.37
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,434Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,433.99
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,025Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$2,475
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$62.71
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.64
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$757Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$756.84
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$474.23
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.12
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.6
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST2152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$292.69
Avalanche vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$497
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$149.83
Senators vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Kings vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+56.6%+$116.08
Blackhawks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+47.1%+$150.12
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+44.9%+$102.07
Red Wings vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$182
Devils vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$182.9
Jets vs. Blackhawksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Oilers vs. Canucksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$91.12
Lightning vs. Flyersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+66.7%+$149.82
Islanders vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Ducks vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+69.5%+$138.98
Red Wings vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$135
Islanders vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+88.7%+$133.02
Golden Knights vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+112.8%+$13.53
Lightning vs. Sharksbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$61.88
Maple Leafs vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+81.8%+$109.64
Flames vs. Oilersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$97
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Magic (-10.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,349Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,544.56
Spread: Heat (-1.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.96
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+75.4%+$279.12
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$792Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$760.87
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+85.2%+$238.52
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+47.1%+$225.88
Magic vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Heat vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$333
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$122.58
Jazz vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$104.79
Heat vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$201
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Timberwolves vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$190
Bucks vs. Nuggetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Pelicans vs. Wizardsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$113.16
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$190
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 19 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+92.3%+$384.92
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+63.9%+$159.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$144.63
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$178.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian Statebacked Georgia Southern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+31.6%+$31.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$147.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$4.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$660
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$240
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Deportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$523.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.