NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69bb9681b91d94b418f4d618339ea390d68fbcfb6f7edcbfe489fdcac9d24964
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Islanders, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $653,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $663,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $653,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 354 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Islanders | 41c | 393,599$161,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232,592.97 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Wild | 59c | 82,754$48,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,628.82 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Wild | 59c | 55,224$32,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,581.99 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Wild | 59c | 50,000$29,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,500 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Wild | 59c | 43,648$25,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,715.77 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Wild | 60c | 41,049$24,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,586.71 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Wild | 59c | 32,494$19,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,302.5 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Wild | 59c | 32,010$18,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,885.9 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Islanders | 41c | 20,211$8,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,926.6 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Wild | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,800 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Wild | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,800 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Wild | 59c | 17,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.99 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Wild | 59c | 16,599$9,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,871.35 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Wild | 59c | 15,130$8,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,927.56 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Islanders | 42c | 10,000$4,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,850 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Islanders | 40c | 9,975$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,974.83 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Islanders | 40c | 8,761$3,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,259.49 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wild | 60c | 8,715$5,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,241.38 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Wild | 67c | 8,569$5,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,706.91 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Wild | 59c | 8,520$5,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,026.8 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Islanders | 39c | 8,127$3,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,957.29 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec81…988ebacked Wild | 61c | 8,031$4,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,870.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Islanders | 40c | 8,000$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,839.99 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Islanders | 44c | 7,536$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,246.08 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Islanders | 39c | 6,500$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,964.98 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Islanders | 40c | 6,162$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,715.95 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Wild | 61c | 5,000$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Islanders | 44c | 4,539$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,548.53 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Islanders | 40c | 4,500$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Wild | 57c | 4,107$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.66 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Wild | 61c | 4,098$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Wild | 60c | 4,013$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408.08 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Wild | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Wild | 59c | 3,991$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,354.71 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Islanders | 41c | 3,561$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.98 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Islanders | 38c | 3,329$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.36 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Islanders | 42c | 3,325$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.5 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Islanders | 31c | 3,085$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.46 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Wild | 59c | 3,062$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.58 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Wild | 61c | 3,004$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.22 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Wild | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Islanders | 39c | 3,000$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.49 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Wild | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.98 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Islanders | 38c | 2,743$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.67 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Wild | 59c | 2,532$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.88 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Wild | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Wild | 60c | 2,500$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Wild | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Islanders | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Islanders | 38c | 2,399$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.49 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Wild | 1c | 2,333$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Wild | 58c | 2,146$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.43 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…1d6ebacked Wild | 56c | 2,142$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…ee32backed Wild | 59c | 2,119$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Islanders | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Islanders | 41c | 1,911$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.12 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Islanders | 44c | 1,900$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Wild | 61c | 1,888$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.79 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Islanders | 37c | 1,871$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.31 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Wild | 59c | 1,753$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -30%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42fd…4661backed Wild | 55c | 1,700$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Islanders | 40c | 1,699$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.1 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Islanders | 42c | 1,550$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Wild | 60c | 1,500$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Wild | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Islanders | 44c | 1,450$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wild | 57c | 1,421$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.74 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wild | 62c | 1,342$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.45 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Wild | 3c | 1,333$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Islanders | 40c | 1,300$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Wild | 60c | 1,250$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Islanders | 42c | 1,191$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.78 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Islanders | 40c | 1,133$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.75 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Islanders | 46c | 1,076$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.41 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…15babacked Wild | 60c | 1,070$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Islanders | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.86 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Wild | 69c | 1,008$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.52 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Wild | 61c | 1,005$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Wild | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Wild | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Islanders | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Islanders | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe779…335ebacked Wild | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Islanders | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…ddc0backed Islanders | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wild | 60c | 1,000$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.75 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Islanders | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Islanders | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Wild | 3c | 1,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 107 | 6.5%7 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wild | 60c | 991$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.6 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Wild | 58c | 856.55$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Wild | 58c | 813.92$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.99 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ec…0ce2backed Islanders | 42c | 790$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.2 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…e1b9backed Wild | 59c | 770$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.3 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…bac1backed Wild | 59c | 740$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked Islanders | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Wild | 59c | 723.73$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e2…787cbacked Islanders | 42c | 720$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Wild | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Islanders | 42c | 663.6$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.93 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Wildthis page
- Islanders vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.