TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc17f…50aa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
688
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 60 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT24048.3%116 W · 124 L-13.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 240 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,141Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$303.3
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,521Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,521.36
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$865Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$865.38
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$729.72
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,772Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$1,325.06
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,846Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$1,038.24
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$943Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$281.75
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,167Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,987.78
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$960
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$897Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$283.2
Hornets vs. Kingsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$897Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$283.2
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$566Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$278.85
Jazz vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+35.1%+$113.88
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,462Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+138.1%+$2,019.56
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,885Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+53.8%+$1,015
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$955Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$955.5
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,511Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,511.1
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,874Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,874.28
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+25%+$260
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,332Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+153.8%+$2,048
Magic vs. Kingsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$866Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+31.6%+$273.6
Team World vs. Team USA Stripesbacked Team World · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$427.75
Team USA Stars vs. Team USA Stripesbacked Team USA Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$411.8
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$909Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+29.9%+$271.4
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$461.48
Showing 25 of 240 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT16346%75 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 163 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$872Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$260.59
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$547Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$294.35
Islanders vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$831Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$708.52
Maple Leafs vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$753Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$753.31
Jets vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,136.85
Utah vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,446Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,445.5
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)backed Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,242.5
Ducks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$796Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$795.5
Capitals vs. Avalanchebacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$517.14
Islanders vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Kings vs. Jetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,785Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,785.44
Ducks vs. Hurricanesbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$874Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$874.41
Canadiens vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,492Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,492.4
Hurricanes vs. Devils: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$207.9
Bruins vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$207.69
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+58.7%+$118.58
Blackhawks vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$623Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$622.64
Lightning vs. Sharksbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+58.1%+$499.58
Utah vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,258Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$2,002.2
Kraken vs. Canucksbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+163.2%+$220.16
Wild vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,290.3
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.56
Predators vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+108.3%+$215.83
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$528.58
Lightning vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+100%+$1,000
Showing 25 of 163 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT11254.5%61 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 112 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Chargersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$78.54
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+51.5%+$302.67
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$754Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+38.9%+$293.3
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$364.8
Spread: Falcons (-2.5)backed Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+163.2%+$483.6
Packers vs. Vikings: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+33.3%+$50
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+74.5%+$140.93
Spread: Broncos (-13.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$296.1
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,012Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+88.9%+$2,677.68
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,824Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,824
Cardinals vs. Ramsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$109.89
Spread: Bills (-6.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$112.75
Spread: Bills (-8.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+122.2%+$407.96
Jets vs. Billsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$699.91
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$3,192
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$5,271Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$1,578.55
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$236.16
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,518Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,517.72
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$9,381Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+43.4%+$4,068.99
Spread: Bills (-2.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+117.4%+$356.38
Saints vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,365Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$2,364.76
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$296.69
Spread: Buccaneers (-5.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$951Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$950.59
Buccaneers vs. Dolphins: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$298.71
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+198.5%+$2,001.64
Showing 25 of 112 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT5750.9%29 W · 28 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.9
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.49
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-18.5)backed North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100%+$272.29
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,889Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+30.2%+$570.69
Michigan State Spartans vs. Indiana Hoosiersbacked Indiana Hoosiers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.42
BYU Cougars vs. West Virginia Mountaineersbacked West Virginia Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$956Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+28.2%+$269.5
Michigan Wolverines vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$237.12
Michigan State Spartans vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$798Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$797.8
Houston Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$378.45
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-2.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+108.3%+$280.8
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-11.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+102.5%+$277.95
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona State Sun Devilsbacked Arizona State Sun Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$722Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+38.6%+$278.42
Houston Cougars vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$201.6
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-9.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+100%+$275
Ohio Bobcats vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Ohio Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$250.63
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+122.2%+$269.5
Arizona Wildcats vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$442.5
Michigan Wolverines vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$105.6
Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$630
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$551.1
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$314.04
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+125.7%+$268.72
Arizona Wildcats vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$272.5
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+81.8%+$284.31
Sacramento State Hornets vs. Weber State Wildcatsbacked Weber State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+37%+$22.08
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST3959%23 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$192.48
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$7,525Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+43.5%+$3,272.78
Spread: Texas State (-13.5)backed Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$83.7
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,372Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$1,168.2
Will Ohio State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,330Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$570
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,258.75
LSU vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,634Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+31.6%+$516
Miami vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$706Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$705.6
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$334.13
Troy vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$93.06
Army vs. Navybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,851Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+56.6%+$1,048.54
Duke vs. Virginiabacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$457.25
UNLV vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$124.8
Alabama vs. Auburnbacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+47.1%+$201.22
Northwestern vs. Illinoisbacked Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$317.52
Oregon vs. Washingtonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10,606Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+46.1%+$4,893.87
Ohio State vs. Michiganbacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,194Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+25.9%+$308.87
Texas A&M vs. Texasbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,645Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$3,644.7
Pittsburgh vs. Georgia Techbacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,579Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,578.5
Miami (OH) vs. Buffalobacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+115.4%+$577.53
Akron vs. Bowlingbacked Akron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+122.2%+$293.33
UMass vs. Ohio: O/U 52.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Utah State vs. UNLVbacked UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+69.5%+$115.62
Texas vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+43.2%+$123.44
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$198.09
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2548%12 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$476.58
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$747Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$746.84
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$768Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$298.53
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$515.28
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.8
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$522.35
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$307.8
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$809Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$311.69
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$517.86
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$709Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$709.04
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$151.29
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$10.85
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$157.51
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$174.85
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$11
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.26
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$11.24
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$11.01
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$11
Padres vs. Giantsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$256.65
Tigers vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$163.18
Athletics vs. Blue Jaysbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$217
Twins vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+400%+$472
Pirates vs. Padresbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+203%+$331.65
All 25 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick60cpaid+45.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$226.37
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$75.09
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Zhizhen Zhangbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$71.16
Dallas Open: Terence Atmane vs Frances Tiafoebacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,425Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+31.6%+$450
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+36.9%+$11.36
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$768Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$269.75
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$798Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+37%+$294.97
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Machacbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+56.3%+$277.2
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Corentin Moutetbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+184.4%+$389.04
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+100%+$500
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1070%7 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick72cpaid+7.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$855Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31.6%+$270
Will Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$866Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$258.75
Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$891Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+29.9%+$266.22
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$761Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+185.7%+$1,414.13
Will Chelsea FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,960Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$1,040
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,188Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+33.3%+$1,062.5
Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$3,900
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,046Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$5,046.4
Will Chelsea vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$675
Will Manchester City vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+31.6%+$116.16
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-53.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$280.27
Will Diego Lopes win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,412Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37.8%+$533.15
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+69.5%+$266.5
Brown vs. Bonfimbacked Brown · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$34.4
Salikhov vs. Medicbacked Salikhov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$269.13
Bonfim vs. Padillabacked Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$48.68
Duncan vs. Tuliobacked Tulio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$70.8
Pena vs. Harrisonbacked Pena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$115.17
Murzakanov vs. Ribeirobacked Ribeiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.98
da Silva vs. Congbacked da Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.09
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST7100%7 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+70.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+94.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+40.8%+$24.08
Olimpia Milano vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+78.6%+$18.3
Anadolu Efes vs. Barcelonabacked Anadolu Efes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+163.6%+$198.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$292.29
Fever vs Libertybacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$142
Liberty vs Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Copenhagen Wolves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3)backed Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+61.3%+$13.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.