WNBA · resolved market
Fever vs Liberty
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52b66b819ca35cbbe975a675f2b30cbecca2ebf4b7141e620a0ddd42ccbb6b31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Libertyof Fever, Liberty
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Fever | 18c | 34,266$6,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,167.84 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Fever | 19c | 31,281$5,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,819.68 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Fever | 23c | 6,022$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.92 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Fever | 19c | 5,650$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.13 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Fever | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed Fever | 22c | 3,459$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Fever | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Liberty | 80c | 1,947$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.37 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Fever | 13c | 1,597$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.66 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Liberty | 72c | 1,261$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.2 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Fever | 18c | 938.69$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.97 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Fever | 18c | 800$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Fever | 13c | 770$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Fever | 20c | 710$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Liberty | 76c | 665.49$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.74 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Fever | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Fever | 19c | 516.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Fever | 20c | 510.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Fever | 6c | 445$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Fever | 24c | 362.5$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Fever | 18c | 351.78$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Liberty | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Fever | 19c | 299.9$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Liberty | 65c | 258.82$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.59 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Fever | 21c | 214.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Fever | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Fever | 18c | 194$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8334…ee61backed Fever | 52c | 184.44$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Liberty | 80c | 177.07$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.41 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked Fever | 7c | 163.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 13cpaid | -93.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…32bbbacked Liberty | 80c | 160$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8612…84e3backed Fever | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Fever | 18c | 142.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…cc69backed Fever | 19c | 135$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Fever | 16c | 118.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Liberty | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd351…0cd3backed Fever | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Fever | 18c | 99.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Liberty | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Fever | 18c | 89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b6…78e6backed Fever | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…8fb7backed Fever | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2260…6b92backed Fever | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda92…c7eebacked Fever | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Fever | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…5f04backed Fever | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…a645backed Fever | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5856…be4dbacked Fever | 20c | 65.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Fever | 24c | 63.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…5e8dbacked Liberty | 76c | 61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…c57dbacked Fever | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Liberty | 68c | 58.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Fever | 20c | 55.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -36%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Fever | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeacf…ed1dbacked Liberty | 75c | 41.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.