TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeacf…ed1d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
163
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT10853.7%58 W · 50 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 108 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$23.22
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+30.1%+$13.87
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+39.7%+$8.52
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.3
Twins vs. Rangersbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+85%+$9.65
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.37
Phillies vs. Diamondbacksbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+36.2%+$10.64
Braves vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.3
Mariners vs. Royalsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.5
Giants vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+91.4%+$9.55
Pirates vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+25%+$12.5
Rays vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.1
Astros vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+30.6%+$8.29
Brewers vs. Piratesbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+71.4%+$10.42
White Sox vs. Twinsbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+61.6%+$13.34
Dodgers vs. Piratesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
Yankees vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+34.8%+$3.87
Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$16.8
Padres vs. Marinersbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+85.9%+$23.1
Pirates vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+74.5%+$21.35
Guardians vs. Rangersbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.23
Showing 25 of 108 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-4.2wins-0.35per pick51cpaid-75.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Denis Shapovalov vs Mariano Navonebacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jacob Fearnley vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
ATP Cincinnati - Machac vs. Mannarinobacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.6
ATP Los Cabos: Ficovich vs. Kovacevicbacked Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+51.7%+$8.8
Swiss Open: Passaro vs. Kym backed Passaro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Swiss Open: Shevchenko vs. Bublikbacked Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.2
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Shelton backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+43.5%+$10
Wimbledon: De Minaur vs. Djokovic backed De Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Wimbledon: Bencic vs. Cocciaretto (W) backed Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Wimbledon: Kasatkina vs. Samsonova (W) backed Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Wimbledon: Auger-Aliassime vs. Struffbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Wimbledon: Siniakova vs. Qinwen (W) backed Qinwen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 12 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
MLS: Will Inter Miami beat New York Red Bulls?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.4
MLS: Will San Diego beat Toronto?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+105.6%+$16.9
MLS: Will Portland beat Real Salt Lake?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+73.5%+$9.18
Will St. Louis City SC beat Portland Timbers?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+155%+$18.91
Will Portland Timbers beat St. Louis City SC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+42.4%+$5.73
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.75
Will Everton win on 2025-09-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+62.6%+$7.7
Will Brentford win on 2025-08-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+68.8%+$8.15
Will Tottenham vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+36.4%+$4
Will Chelsea vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.79
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.7
Will Aston Villa vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.3
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+33.9%+$4.05
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2025, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick42cpaid+73.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+43.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mystics vs Lynxbacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Fever vs Libertybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+33.4%+$10.35
Aces vs Wingsbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.1
Mystics vs Sparksbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+80.5%+$17.68
Sparks vs Feverbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Mystics vs Wingsbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$14.58
All 6 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-43.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 28, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+91.8%+$12.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengals vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.