Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x152c16cba4c48dc6d83684ff45e728798f1fbd7e99757a3c24d236f8900ea137
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yes | 77c | 130,075$100,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,672.35 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed No | 23c | 110,000$25,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,300 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed No | 22c | 50,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 23c | 9,635$2,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.02 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 78c | 8,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 24c | 4,827$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.01 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 13c | 3,222$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.2 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda68…7ee2backed Yes | 53c | 2,484$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 77c | 2,167$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.92 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 25c | 2,050$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 79c | 1,909$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.89 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 50c | 1,711$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.45 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2eb…9b76backed Yes | 79c | 1,500$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 42c | 1,493$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.67 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 29c | 1,390$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.34 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 21c | 1,065$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.56 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 21c | 800$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f55…de24backed No | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa85…c1a7backed Yes | 76c | 750$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcac…d069backed No | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 72c | 398.61$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.61 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 76c | 395.4$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.27 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…bf3abacked Yes | 62c | 388.46$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Yes | 79c | 384.09$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.75 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb2…b219backed Yes | 77c | 324.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Yes | 79c | 316.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc4…e66fbacked Yes | 77c | 276.1$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Yes | 77c | 260$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 25c | 242.89$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.78 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Yes | 80c | 216.25$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 28c | 213.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 23c | 181.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed No | 21c | 143$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…eb93backed Yes | 74c | 141.62$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +170.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…7470backed Yes | 72c | 139.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10bd…3a02backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x562f…e46fbacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…ae97backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 71cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5a…413cbacked No | 21c | 122.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 26c | 113$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…377fbacked Yes | 57c | 108.35$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0f…addabacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 22c | 93.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 43c | 82.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked No | 23c | 79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked No | 23c | 76.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18b4…913bbacked No | 22c | 67.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…960dbacked Yes | 79c | 65.22$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc41…7973backed Yes | 60c | 65.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x092d…8756backed Yes | 80c | 61.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…561ebacked Yes | 80c | 60.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Yes | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bf…46d7backed No | 22c | 59.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9978…6c41backed Yes | 79c | 58.51$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 79c | 57.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 76c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb05…4d1dbacked Yes | 67c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…c418backed No | 27c | 44.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…d4d2backed Yes | 78c | 38.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Yes | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6350…759abacked Yes | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdae8…293fbacked Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…db98backed Yes | 79c | 28.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69f…ceb0backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ab…cdcbbacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 75cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…c7c8backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5c…e309backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae9…9988backed Yes | 80c | 22.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db4…d97fbacked Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…f7f5backed Yes | 76c | 17.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeacf…ed1dbacked Yes | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 79c | 12.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-25?this page
- Will Southampton vs. Arsenal end in a draw?No won
- Will Southampton win on 2025-05-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.