TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcf0f…adda

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
116
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST4259.5%25 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+44.9%+$14.38
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Will Red Star Belgrade win on 2025-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will FK Qarabag win on 2025-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$9.33
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will Real Madrid beat Borussia Dortmund in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$16.68
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Bayern (To Advance) backed Bayern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
FIFA Club World Cup: Dortmund vs. Monterrey (To Advance) backed Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+37%+$9.25
Will Manchester City win Group G at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Will Fluminense beat Mamelodi?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Chelsea beat Esperance Sportive?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$6.65
Will Bayern Munich win Group C at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Real Madrid beat Pachuca?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$8.78
Will Juventus beat Wydad AC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Mamelodi Sundowns?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$8.33
Will PSG beat Botafogo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Atlético Madrid beat Seattle Sounders?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$11.28
Will Inter Milan beat Monterrey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Flamengo beat Esperance Sportive?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+37.2%+$16.75
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$38.18
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST3268.8%22 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will Albania win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$7.67
Will Scotland win on 2025-09-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+53.9%+$10.79
Will Poland win on 2025-09-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$13.48
Will Georgia win on 2025-09-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Will Serbia win on 2025-09-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+33.6%+$8.4
Will Czechia win on 2025-09-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+71.8%+$16.53
Will Switzerland win on 2025-09-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
Will France win on 2025-09-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+37%+$8.88
Will Germany win on 2025-09-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Lithuania win on 2025-09-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Gold Cup Final Winner: USA vs. Mexico backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Concacaf Gold Cup: Panama vs. Honduras (To Advance) backed Panama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will USA beat Haiti?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$13.46
Will Canada beat Curacao?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Mexico beat Suriname?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$9.03
Will Canada beat Honduras?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+41%+$12.31
Will Spain win the UEFA Nations League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Spain beat Portugal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Netherlands beat Finland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will Austria beat Romania?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
Will Lithuania beat Malta?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Argentina beat Uruguaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
Will Ecuador beat Venezuela?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
Will Peru beat Bolivia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-41.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.34
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+96.1%+$14.41
Will FC Porto win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
Will Rangers win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Lyon win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Will AS Roma win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Lazio win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+42.9%+$10.71
Will Ajax win on 2025-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will FC Porto beat Roma?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Fenerbahce beat Anderlecht?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will Frankfurt beat Ferencvaros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+51.5%+$9.27
Will Ajax beat RFS?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Tottenham beat Hoffenheim?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+156.4%+$23.46
Will Lazio beat Ludogorets?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$12
Will Ajax beat Maccabi TLV?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+29.9%+$7.47
Will Anderlecht beat RFS?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Bodo Glimt beat Qarabag?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$22
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT1877.8%14 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$15
Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+25%+$20
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+53.8%+$16.15
Will Chelsea win on 2025-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+25%+$15
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+49.3%+$24.63
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+31.6%+$25.26
Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.54
Will West Ham vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$14
Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+47.1%+$7.06
Will Man Utd win on 2024-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$12
Will Liverpool win on 2024-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+31.6%+$5.05
Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+35.1%+$5.27
Will Man City win on 2024-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
All 18 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+223.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+223.1%+$55.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AZ win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$13.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MLS: Will Vancouver Whitecaps beat Sporting Kansas City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+51.3%+$16.43
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.