TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,458
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,354

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,458 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x571c…c16abacked Yes78c16,712$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,00010848.1%52 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No65c7,185$4,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,494.9938645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No21c6,282$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,931.8113857.2%79 W · 59 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed No25c4,795$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,616.1421445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No24c4,602$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,491.6479639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8406…0176backed Yes79c4,470$3,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,525.512867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes25c4,393$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.2532736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No22c3,636$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,836.0824566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1566…e22abacked Yes45c3,344$1,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,502.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No23c2,737$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,115.3832037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No26c2,050$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.9968026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed No70c1,938$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.8520744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No22c1,510$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.8518752.9%99 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No27c1,277$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.516851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No29c1,013$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.4417958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes76c1,006$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.766055%33 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes74c945.95$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70018740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No24c927.86$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.1790751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No24c783.87$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.741,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes2c625$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1027024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No22c545$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.142048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No22c544$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.3283459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes74c541.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013449.3%66 W · 68 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes76c526.32$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011855.1%65 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No26c405$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.759943.4%43 W · 56 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked Yes75c401.8$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.5411252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd483…756dbacked Yes75c398.12$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes76c377$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.468942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ecb…070fbacked Yes64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-65.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No53c302.22$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.2242862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Yes77c300$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23111761.5%72 W · 45 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No21c294.68$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.813829%40 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3b7b…f74ebacked Yes73c292.15$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.484456.8%25 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Yes74c270.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011052.7%58 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54f5…d9c7backed Yes70c209.29$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.52352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbbaa…cbeabacked Yes77c207.79$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15029653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe85…9cadbacked No24c193.67$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ef1…e7f4backed No26c193.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+92.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df3…1291backed No26c179.12$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.55683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick45cpaid+97.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Yes68c165.68$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.665740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Yes79c165$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010154.5%55 W · 46 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes77c162.34$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12539561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef9f…425ebacked Yes74c138$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.127659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13f3…bdf9backed Yes75c137.95$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dae…9574backed Yes74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No24c134.59$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10252060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc93b…ae97backed Yes76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick71cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98cc…7470backed Yes77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1385…5077backed No25c128.12$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.09333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004833.3%16 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…c49cbacked No26c101.73$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.28450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+34%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb393…f733backed Yes74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c23…366ebacked Yes78c100$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed No22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x866d…4d7dbacked No27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734318.6%8 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x023e…d4d2backed Yes72c83.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6749…fea7backed No26c82.92$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.36580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+78.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x73b9…ecc4backed No25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x121f…0463backed Yes79c75.95$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…4706backed Yes76c75.63$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd756…5026backed Yes76c70.63$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.68475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+62.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0c8…3cbbbacked Yes76c69.86$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.09366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdc3…a12cbacked Yes75c69.47$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c36…be27backed Yes76c68.33$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.93560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21b7…43f0backed Yes77c67.84$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.24425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb432…e207backed No25c67.64$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e60…69f1backed Yes76c67.16$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-57.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No23c66.35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0581559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aa6…f1febacked Yes77c66.14$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9330%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a7f…71c7backed Yes76c65.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2bd…6822backed Yes76c65.08$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.46475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+61.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No23c65$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0565557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc516…5f28backed Yes79c63.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6dad…bfcdbacked Yes76c62.66$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa09b…bed5backed Yes76c61.8$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…65ecbacked Yes76c61.12$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8c4…ae60backed Yes76c60.51$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7db…e78fbacked Yes77c59.25$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick73cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcea7…8e04backed No25c58.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes73c58$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3421463.1%135 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9071…e8cdbacked Yes75c57.19$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8930%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4645…7cddbacked No26c56.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+66.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes74c55$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.741437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26bb…6f44backed Yes77c50.65$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa338…2d6ebacked No26c44.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.93475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+77.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36da…8adfbacked Yes76c43.91$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.37633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf430…675abacked Yes77c41.25$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.593447.1%16 W · 18 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa1ec…153bbacked Yes76c40.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.47560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107452.7%39 W · 35 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf065…c418backed No28c39.27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.441747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf0f…addabacked Yes80c37.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301877.8%14 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Yes79c36.48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8212357.7%71 W · 52 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x866f…db8abacked Yes76c32.91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6350…759abacked Yes77c32.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253056.7%17 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Yes79c31.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf5c…e309backed Yes79c30.38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…db98backed Yes79c28.86$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.82556%14 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.