TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x73b9…ecc4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.4
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.8
Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+300%+$60
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Will Brighton vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will West Ham vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will West Ham win on 2025-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$62
Will Tottenham win on 2025-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Leicester win on 2025-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.6
Will Newcastle vs. Ipswich end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Chelsea vs. Everton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Manchester City vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$50.56
Will Manchester United vs. Wolves end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+448.3%+$158.7
Will Wolves win on 2025-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$19.49
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$19.58
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$74
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+300%+$60
Will Manchester City win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 23 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2114.3%3 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick15cpaid+100.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lee Jae-myung impeached in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42.66
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$213.71
Yoon arrested by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$375.36
Will Lee Jae-myung win 35-40% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.1
Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+100%+$180.5
Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.56
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+3,603.7%+$1,255.17
Will the candidate from the Rebuilding Korea Party win the South Korean Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.3
Will Lee Nak-yon be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.05
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$717Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$717.13
Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.88
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$159.07
Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$370.12
Will Hong Joon-pyo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$338.78
Will 3-4 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$269.92
Will 1-2 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$198.72
Will 0 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.48
Will 7-8 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$339.44
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+206.3%+$146.48
All 21 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick9cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$103.54
Marlins vs. Padresbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.4
Phillies vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
Marlins vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$144.57
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+67.9%+$17.39
Tigers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$52.4
All 6 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+104.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.4
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.8
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lucknow Super Giants vs. Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$51.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Copa Del Rey: Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad (To Advance)backed Real Sociedad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MOUZ win the BLAST Open Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.