World Politics · resolved market
Will 1-2 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c654e6c9ef8bd3b2cd589b62cd5ad44c5dfb9423c71b51bc6af1cf02baeb4db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,071,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $820,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,071,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4b8…5ec5backed Yes | 7c | 212,751$15,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,843.06 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…d0d5backed Yes | 1c | 42,169$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 6c | 40,426$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,313.66 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 6c | 33,067$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.7 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 11c | 30,322$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,380.05 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ab…c793backed Yes | 7c | 28,512$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.85 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…09febacked Yes | 3c | 27,019$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3c…b218backed Yes | 3c | 23,002$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.04 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…b5a8backed Yes | 7c | 20,588$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…df94backed Yes | 5c | 19,568$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed50…9e1fbacked Yes | 5c | 19,420$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.53 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Yes | 5c | 19,102$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.87 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa847…88a5backed Yes | 6c | 18,299$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.87 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -87%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…a167backed Yes | 6c | 15,937$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.12 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +344.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3250…41babacked Yes | 5c | 15,754$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.81 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 7cpaid | +165.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…5d7cbacked Yes | 6c | 14,424$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.83 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e6…cc9fbacked Yes | 1c | 12,000$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 15cpaid | +148.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x716c…65cabacked Yes | 6c | 11,822$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.97 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…ba49backed Yes | 4c | 10,828$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ab…c76ebacked Yes | 6c | 10,715$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…3f29backed Yes | 5c | 10,701$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x305d…54afbacked Yes | 11c | 10,587$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.33 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7024…4c4cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,409$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…5e2fbacked Yes | 4c | 8,500$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3668…ae02backed Yes | 6c | 7,811$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.05 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8832…5022backed Yes | 4c | 7,617$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bda…80aabacked Yes | 4c | 7,382$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68c…f3e9backed Yes | 2c | 6,983$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.66 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ac…3e1ebacked Yes | 6c | 6,980$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.24 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -89%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 6,269$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.96 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 2c | 6,028$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.56 | 206 | 14.6%30 W · 176 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,420$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.17 | 64 | 10.9%7 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 5,392$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 6c | 5,305$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.52 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ae…7adbbacked Yes | 3c | 5,260$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb45…9ca5backed Yes | 7c | 5,200$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.84 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…e2cfbacked Yes | 4c | 5,113$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433a…63f9backed Yes | 6c | 5,008$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda1…1579backed Yes | 3c | 4,893$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…f088backed Yes | 5c | 4,797$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.41 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b9…ecc4backed Yes | 5c | 4,260$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.72 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc0…cc54backed Yes | 5c | 4,118$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1077…0722backed Yes | 4c | 4,000$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.64 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 3,976$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.82 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf63…5a4cbacked Yes | 4c | 3,798$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.06 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…a524backed Yes | 1c | 3,752$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec1f…9446backed Yes | 6c | 3,737$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.94 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae97…7eabbacked Yes | 6c | 3,677$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff9e…56a1backed Yes | 2c | 3,637$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.28 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b6…aa4fbacked Yes | 2c | 3,561$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…4eabbacked Yes | 4c | 3,332$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.08 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +263.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc331…1d71backed Yes | 8c | 3,275$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.9 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…7430backed Yes | 3c | 3,001$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.01 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…9e60backed Yes | 6c | 2,982$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c15…4a8cbacked Yes | 6c | 2,924$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…2e51backed Yes | 7c | 2,744$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.47 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…d0f3backed Yes | 4c | 2,714$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…1017backed Yes | 6c | 2,676$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 2,427$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…db0cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,405$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…1bd9backed Yes | 9c | 2,288$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266c…7afdbacked Yes | 9c | 2,145$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…9b16backed Yes | 6c | 2,110$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa588…c2f5backed Yes | 3c | 2,102$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18d…9863backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…7ec1backed Yes | 4c | 1,972$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a0…be53backed Yes | 1c | 1,901$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e0…b2b4backed Yes | 10c | 1,855$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…bb7fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,818$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…19d4backed Yes | 4c | 1,647$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafe…a6b7backed Yes | 6c | 1,581$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540b…be81backed Yes | 3c | 1,558$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…3dd9backed Yes | 17c | 1,495$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ab…a84dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,491$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0579…035dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,467$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9838…204fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,410$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 4c | 1,362$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0c…6b64backed Yes | 5c | 1,327$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.27 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…aaa1backed Yes | 9c | 1,286$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…cebebacked Yes | 9c | 1,162$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ed…dd5cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,116$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…77a4backed Yes | 8c | 1,020$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…155ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.26 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x957a…a890backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…fb6dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2508…818dbacked Yes | 5c | 981.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x179b…7d11backed Yes | 11c | 923.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…a91cbacked Yes | 6c | 892.72$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e98…ae0fbacked Yes | 2c | 848.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe076…184cbacked Yes | 6c | 803.09$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…030bbacked Yes | 7c | 750.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe961…53a3backed Yes | 5c | 734.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7249…83afbacked Yes | 9c | 685.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d19…3840backed Yes | 3c | 653.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55c1…238dbacked Yes | 7c | 647.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…bdd0backed Yes | 9c | 644.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7f…fb42backed Yes | 9c | 607.87$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81af…d586backed Yes | 10c | 595.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c04…60b4backed Yes | 2c | 542.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1-2 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?this page
- Will 0 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?No won
- Will 3-4 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?No won
- Will 5-6 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?No won
- Will 7-8 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?Yes won
- Will 9 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.