World Politics · resolved market
Will 9 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00b2f3ec7c5092fab8fb54ae2451f888266d3c365742d865e07dcfc4a8c1eac0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $993,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $306,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $993,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcfed…df12backed Yes | 0c | 147,781$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 1c | 50,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 0c | 45,000$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 29,152$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.93 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b3…4369backed Yes | 0c | 23,955$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 0c | 19,958$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.55 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 15,992$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 0c | 15,184$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1901…1618backed Yes | 1c | 12,803$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…a167backed Yes | 3c | 10,136$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.77 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +344.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9f…c17cbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…5f24backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f7…fa0dbacked Yes | 1c | 9,977$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.76 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +197.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d3…18cdbacked Yes | 0c | 9,642$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de7…2d9abacked Yes | 1c | 9,016$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.19 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f30…c8dbbacked Yes | 0c | 6,893$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…2c62backed Yes | 1c | 5,898$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Yes | 0c | 5,736$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…bfebbacked Yes | 2c | 5,458$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd80…7e2cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,357$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18d…9863backed Yes | 1c | 5,045$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35a…2d33backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae9…5f74backed Yes | 1c | 4,832$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 2c | 4,691$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.57 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 3,943$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked Yes | 1c | 3,730$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d15…56d8backed Yes | 3c | 3,677$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 1c | 3,545$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 1c | 3,398$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f3…6188backed Yes | 1c | 3,209$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb73…370fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae06…77e1backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 2,665$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedee…f2b4backed Yes | 1c | 2,206$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,020$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 206 | 14.6%30 W · 176 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5e…7f28backed Yes | 1c | 1,890$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3153…778cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,836$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30be…34cbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,339$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6142…dc66backed Yes | 2c | 1,302$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…b979backed Yes | 1c | 989.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 25cpaid | +274.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 2c | 974.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 868.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c45…47f1backed Yes | 4c | 540.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5a…b604backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 9 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?this page
- Will 0 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?No won
- Will 1-2 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?No won
- Will 3-4 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?No won
- Will 5-6 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?No won
- Will 7-8 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.