TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will 0 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,384,877
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,058,327

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,384,877 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa4b8…5ec5backed Yes3c215,114$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,499.96911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-71.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe445…c7e7backed Yes4c173,509$6,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,856.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45ab…2c73backed Yes3c51,792$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,532.51933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6e6…b65fbacked Yes3c50,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick32cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x203b…acd1backed Yes10c42,733$4,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,088.5449.1%4 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick10cpaid-40.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes5c32,896$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,782.4216612.7%21 W · 145 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-51.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3ab…c793backed Yes8c32,300$2,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,570.31922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-41.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes6c32,085$1,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,817.246883.6%25 W · 663 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-59.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1d9…09febacked Yes3c31,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.991020%2 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x716c…65cabacked Yes3c25,976$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.531513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-64.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfbe…4ef3backed Yes2c23,566$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.92248.3%2 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-73%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa847…88a5backed Yes7c22,191$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.93234.3%1 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick12cpaid-87%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes7c19,855$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.111723.5%4 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick17cpaid+194.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20b6…aa4fbacked Yes2c18,372$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.91333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick20cpaid-38.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3de…a167backed Yes3c17,326$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.471625%4 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+344.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3250…41babacked Yes2c13,000$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2131030%3 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick7cpaid+165.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x173c…bf6fbacked Yes22c12,690$2,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,734.84520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x810b…74a5backed Yes11c12,501$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.24520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-72.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x979f…b5a8backed Yes6c12,489$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3668…ae02backed Yes6c12,421$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.2670%0 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa92e…b018backed Yes5c11,685$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.781020%2 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc3c…b218backed Yes4c11,195$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.376331.7%20 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-18.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90b6…ba49backed Yes7c10,892$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.03728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-41.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcf63…5a4cbacked Yes7c10,458$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.76229.1%2 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-81.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7024…4c4cbacked Yes0c10,004$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10340%0 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Yes5c10,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4507345.2%33 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x832f…ef80backed Yes7c9,990$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.323212.5%4 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-76.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xecea…889abacked Yes8c9,910$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.91637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-40.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x316d…17e7backed Yes1c9,500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27cb…df94backed Yes3c9,109$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.9130%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6496…8846backed Yes9c8,310$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.44616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-51.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes9c8,228$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.5527828.1%78 W · 200 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b6c…f6aabacked Yes5c8,106$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.814231%13 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f0…fe05backed Yes2c7,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1405817.2%10 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid-43.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa699…785fbacked Yes6c6,885$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.42944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcda1…1579backed Yes3c6,272$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.2850%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18d…9863backed Yes6c6,159$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.897816.7%13 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-46.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes9c6,134$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.2820614.6%30 W · 176 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-18.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b0c…cebebacked Yes3c6,005$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102927.6%8 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid+43.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5abb…d327backed Yes5c5,915$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.72616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes7c5,481$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.421,02228%286 W · 736 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc60…155bbacked Yes2c5,068$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1077…0722backed Yes7c5,007$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.06128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick20cpaid-64.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97ac…3e1ebacked Yes8c5,000$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.54156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick18cpaid-89%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb45…9ca5backed Yes8c4,108$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.61330.8%4 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-40.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64c9…155ebacked Yes4c4,000$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.07147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-79.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2644…daecbacked Yes13c3,889$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc331…1d71backed Yes7c3,572$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.54117.1%7 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+39.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes5c3,480$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.621,43110.1%145 W · 1,286 L-4.9wins0.00per pick10cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1859…fc9cbacked Yes10c3,426$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.95137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-67.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25e6…cc9fbacked Yes2c3,358$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.67560%3 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.45per pick15cpaid+148.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4bda…80aabacked Yes8c2,702$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.46425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid-33.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes4c2,627$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.913525.2%34 W · 101 L-0.3wins0.00per pick25cpaid+38.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb322…db0cbacked Yes8c2,624$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.130%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x266c…7afdbacked Yes8c2,603$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-39.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…f088backed Yes4c2,525$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.621030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-48.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f57…7a66backed Yes1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-51.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes6c2,472$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.054766.5%31 W · 445 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…4ef5backed Yes4c2,400$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853716.2%6 W · 31 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-62%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Yes13c2,359$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-45.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes8c2,338$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.415420.4%11 W · 43 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-37.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf55e…0c66backed Yes2c2,160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40382.6%1 W · 37 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-90.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd68c…f3e9backed Yes9c2,060$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.52911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-56.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cfe…5e2fbacked Yes1c2,037$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.44837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick26cpaid-23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae97…7eabbacked Yes7c1,878$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.1450%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4076…c448backed Yes10c1,865$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.56812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-61.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa588…c2f5backed Yes3c1,613$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ab…c76ebacked Yes4c1,584$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6630%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbafe…a6b7backed Yes5c1,540$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-53.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c92…1322backed Yes9c1,530$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.343132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8951…43efbacked Yes15c1,498$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.411225%3 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5676…b103backed Yes6c1,463$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0920538%78 W · 127 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7a…c585backed Yes11c1,444$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.317424.3%18 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d19…3840backed Yes2c1,425$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0140%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81af…d586backed Yes10c1,332$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.340%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1161…19d4backed Yes2c1,314$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e8…da55backed Yes7c1,283$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.341315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77b9…47a8backed Yes5c1,195$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.05616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick9cpaid-23.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6846…f344backed Yes12c1,167$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.051118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-56.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc0…cc54backed Yes8c1,098$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.59520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-41.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe9f…3dd9backed Yes15c1,029$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf3…8f27backed Yes2c1,000$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241936.8%7 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick21cpaid+87%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb11…e93fbacked Yes9c1,000$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…1531backed Yes6c1,000$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6130%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ff…a91cbacked Yes20c993.81$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8da3…8a67backed Yes4c924.71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.833737.8%14 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe653…4eabbacked Yes8c818.02$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.81127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick16cpaid+263.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x957a…a890backed Yes2c800$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55c1…238dbacked Yes5c799.8$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.28616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa764…28fbbacked Yes12c789.01$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a92…3f29backed Yes10c780$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.83520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ab…a84dbacked Yes4c755.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.04616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes9c754.9$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4956314.6%82 W · 481 L-39.3wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed Yes14c724.21$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8713118.3%24 W · 107 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x98a0…be53backed Yes4c715.56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.941216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-64.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes12c711.11$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.616224.2%15 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x576c…bb7fbacked Yes1c673.33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91d7…2f8abacked Yes6c654.96$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.933250%16 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3f…77a4backed Yes6c610$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.71030%3 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65ed…dd5cbacked Yes2c606.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-77.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.